1
Hard Right
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |