6
Slightly Naughty
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 55
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 28/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |