2
Super Tom
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -17.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |