Cajun Influence
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 8 - Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |