2
Fine Style
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 8 - Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 29/06/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 27/07/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |