Flyonbye
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 8 - Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |