Ciunas
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 101
Woodbine · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/09/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |