Eyes On The King
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 98
Woodbine · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2024-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/05/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/07/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 07/09/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 05/10/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/12/2024 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 15/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 12/07/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |