Kekoa
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 103
Woodbine · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |