4
War Bomber
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 103
Woodbine · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 78% | -0.14 |