17:30 · Wolverhampton

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f 20yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyALLWEATHER8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
11/4
Oxbridge silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Chopin

2yo Colt · 9-7

Blue Point - Great Dame (Dandy Man)

Billy Loughnane80%G Boughey60%
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled February 19. 160,000 gns Blue Point colt. Half-brother to useful 5f winner Air Force One. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to smart 6f/7f winner Donnerschlag. Likely type making debut in a very winnable race.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish1st of 8100% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength86%
7
3
10/1
Nightbloom silks

AMO Racing Limited

2yo Filly · 9-2

Invincible Spirit - Field Of Stars (Acclamation)

C Lee70%K P De Foy60%
66
3.0
Tongue strap

No more than minor promise in a pair of 5f outings on turf in July. Has had a breathing operation ahead of this first outing for 10 weeks.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0724/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%3/07Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%24/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -40.5%Ahead 0/2
8
Market FavTop Pick1
15/8
Urumita silks

Jinky Farms

2yo Filly · 9-2

Mehmas - Merlettaia (Shamardal)

S M Levey70%0/2R Hannon80%
45
4.0

Looked in need of the experience but made an encouraging start when fourth of 10 in maiden at Newbury (6f, firm) in August. Subsequent Windsor fifth was underwhelming but good shout if back to the debut form.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0814/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%26/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%14/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 1/2
2
5
33/1
Goldtrader silks

Mrs T Walker

2yo Colt · 9-7

Sergei Prokofiev - Piffle (Camacho)

George Downing0/1E Walker
97
2.0

In good hands but well held in pair of sprint novices over 3 months apart.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0529/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 25%29/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 1/2
3
6
4/1
Hidden Layers silks

Jim And Claire Limited & Omar Ghrghar

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Complexity - Hidden Places (Dialed In)

William Carver60%J A Osborne
No form3.0

Foaled January 29. 75,000 gns breeze-up 2-y-o with a US pedigree. The market should help guide to expectations.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish5th of 843% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength79%
1
4
9/2
Gilded Call silks

Manton Thoroughbreds Xi

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Soldier's Call - Felix Gold (Bushranger)

H Crouch60%B J Meehan
64
4.0

Has hinted at ability on both turf starts but not enough to think he can win a novice.

Class Advantage

8/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0921/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 38%8/09Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%21/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 1/2
5
7
33/1
Starbolt silks

Mr Paul McEwen

2yo Colt · 9-7

Starman - Miriam's Song (Royal Applause)

R Havlin60%E A L Dunlop
0
2.0

40/1, fourteenth of 15 in maiden at Newbury (6f, good to firm) on debut 11 days ago. More one for the longer term on that evidence.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 7%18/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 12-17 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.1%Ahead 1/1
6
8
50/1
Black Treasure silks

Nbr 15, Singh & Partner

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blackbeard - Spinacre (Verglas)

S D Bowen60%0/2Ollie Sangster
770
2.0Class ↓2
Hood

Hasn't beaten a rival in 3 starts.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/057/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/0915/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%6/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%7/09Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%15/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/3