IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. bellewstown
  3. race-2

12:35 · Bellewstown

Bellewstown Inn Fillies Maiden

7f 195yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 77
13/8
Tax Me Later silks

Dreamers Alliance Syndicate

Tax Me Later

3yo Filly · 9-3

Lucky Vega - Polar Sea (Pivotal)

Reese Holohan−5lbKevin Coleman
32
8.0Going 8.0

Placed on both starts to date but stepped up on debut when ½-length second of 8 to Quinta Girl in 1m claimer at Gowran earlier this month. Has since left Daniel McLoughlin and reverts to maiden company on first start for new connections.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/081/09 · C8 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 86%25/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%1/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.5%Ahead 2/2
4
Market Fav2
OR 79
4/6
White Sand Beach silks

Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier

White Sand Beach

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dubawi - Alice Springs (Galileo)

J Cleary−5lbA P O'Brien60%
088224
6.0Class ↓7
Blinkers

Fairly useful filly who remains a maiden after 10 runs but has finished second on 4 occasions in this company. Failed to land the odds when only 3½ lengths fourth of 7 to Star Performer in 9f maiden at the Curragh last time but sets the standard on the pick of her efforts.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/0524/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par7/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%4/05Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%7/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 94%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%13/07Pos 4 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 50%19/07
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 2/4
5
3
OR 70
6/1
Xirivella silks

Noel Meade Racing Ltd

Xirivella

3yo Filly · 9-3

Gleneagles - Miss Moon (Elusive City)

Siobhan RutledgeN Meade
6335
5.0Going 8.0

Ran to a fair level when placed in 1m maidens at Naas and Navan, but looked stretched by the step up to 9f at Punchestown last time. Back over shorter trip now but needs to improve.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/073/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/082/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0915/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%4/07Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 88%3/08Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%2/09Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +54.0%Ahead 4/4
1
4
66/1
Almost Okay silks

Triona Burbage

Almost Okay

3yo Filly · 9-3

Gregorian - Methayel (Araafa)

Nathan CrosseJ P Fahey60%
0
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Gregorian filly who looked one for the longer term when well held in 1m maiden at Navan on debut. Wears first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 18%5/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 13-18 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 1/1
3
5
100/1
Valerie O silks

Judith Long

Valerie O

3yo Filly · 9-3

Nando Parrado - Avaselle (Ad Valorem)

James RyanN Slevin
0
2.0

Nando Parrado filly. Went with no promise when beating only a single rival in a 17-runner maiden at Fairyhouse 10 days ago.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 6%21/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 14-19 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 1/1