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15:42 · Clonmel

Clonmel Novice Handicap Hurdle

2m 6f 170yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 119
9/4
Kashchei silks

Six Degenerates Syndicate

Kashchei

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Telescope - Leblon (Dansili)

Alan O'Sullivan60%−5lbC Collins60%
531P21
8.0Class ↓6
Cheek pieces

Took another step forward to register a second success of the campaign in 9-runner novice hurdle at Downpatrick (21f, soft, 7/1) 13 days ago, relishing the increased emphasis on stamina. Big player back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

17/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/014/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par29/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par6/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par31/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par18/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 45%17/01Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%29/03Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%31/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.9%Ahead 4/4
3
2
OR 113
5/2
Louiescall silks

Bryan Grehan & Gerry Hughes

Louiescall

5yo Gelding · 11-6

Soldier's Call - Red Perdita (Approve)

Daniel King1/2D H Kelly
429281
7.0Class ↓7

Won a Tramore maiden hurdle in August and has run well to place on the Flat at Cork and Listowel since. Bold show likely back hurdling.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/1013/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par29/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par30/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par21/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 53%18/10Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 44%29/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%30/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 93%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.8%Ahead 4/4
2
4
OR 113
5/1
Hopeful Hero silks

Cool Out Again Syndicate

Hopeful Hero

5yo Gelding · 11-6

Raven's Pass - Time Passes (Dalakhani)

Donagh Meyler0/3T Hogan
310324
5.0Going 10.0
Hood

Winner of maiden at Bellewstown in July and mostly creditable efforts in handicaps since, including fourth of 13 in handicap at Navan (2m, good to soft) 12 days ago. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/064/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par27/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par28/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par19/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 87%9/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 15 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 15 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 26%27/07Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%4/09Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%19/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 2/4
4
3
OR 113
10/1
St Lawrence's Well silks

Cash,cows & Copper Syndicate

St Lawrence's Well

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Idaho - Flemensmist (Flemensfirth)

Kevin Healy60%0/1−7lbD Queally60%
125F59
3.0
Hood

Winner of a bumper last September. Second on hurdle debut next time but hasn't progressed as might have been expected since, including ninth of 12 on handicap debut at Kilbeggan (3m, good) when last seen in June.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/085/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par15/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%4/08Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 67%12/10Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 64%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%1/01Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 27%15/06
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.9%Ahead 0/4
6
5
OR 93
7/2
Star Cave silks

John C Byrne

Star Cave

6yo Mare · 10-0

Court Cave - Star Island (Heron Island)

Simon Torrens60%0/2P T Foley60%
322492
5.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Thrice-raced maiden under Rules. Hooded first time, second of 12 in maiden hurdle (6/1) at Wexford (3m, soft) 34 days ago. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/074/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0828/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 70%10/07Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%4/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 91%28/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.6%Ahead 2/3
5
6
OR 103
8/1
Le Questionnaire silks

R Stokes & Declan O'Driscoll

Le Questionnaire

5yo Gelding · 10-10

Earnshaw - Caudan (Kentucky Dynamite)

Sam Ewing0/1G Elliott70%
202266
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Placed both starts in British points. Runner-up in a couple of maiden hurdles for Gordon Elliott in the spring but has disappointed in 2 similar races around 3m since. First-time blinkers need to spark a revival now handicapping.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0420/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 6f 170y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 58%4/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%20/04Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 93%22/05Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%7/06Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%24/07
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4