16:00 · Fontwell

Southern Cranes And Access Handicap Hurdle

2m 5f 164yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav2
OR 98
1/1
Mr Mcwhinny silks

Character Testing Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-5

Soldier Of Fortune - Kala Brandy (Kalanisi)

Jack Andrews60%3/5T Ellis60%
414111
9.0
Tongue strap

Thrived since joining current yard. Cruised clear to make it a hat-trick (fourth win from last 5 chase starts) in a small field at Newton Abbot (21f) last time. Reverts to hurdling for first time in 16 months in bid for a 4-timer and has a 4 lb lower mark to work with in this sphere.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0618/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%13/06Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%19/08Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%14/09Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish1st of 4
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-278/100
1
Top Pick1
OR 103
11/2
Glance Of Glory silks

Sapphire Racing

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Passing Glance - Tea Caddy (Kadastrof)

Freddie Keighley60%−5lbM Keighley70%
114F83
6.0Going 9.0
Cheek pieces

Low-mileage 6-y-o who landed back-to-back victories at Worcester last autumn. Shaped as if back in form on return (had breathing operation in interim), finishing 14 lengths third behind subsequent winner at Uttoxeter (2½m). Should be thereabouts if building on that.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0426/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/10 · mark par6/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/12 · mark par29/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%25/04Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%22/10Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%29/03Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 82%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%2-461/100
4
3
OR 95
15/8
Jefe Triunfo silks

Miss Jane Goddard

7yo Gelding · 11-2

Cima De Triomphe - Assemblee A Brion (Epalo)

Freddie Gordon60%2/8C Gordon70%
807541
6.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Tumbled in the weights since finishing third in valuable novice final at Worcester last September. Capitalised when tackling 3m for first time with headgear on at Plumpton latest, scoring by 2½ lengths under a sound tactical ride. A 5 lb rise may not prove beyond him now back in the groove.

Class Advantage

10/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/11 · mark par10/116/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par20/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 22%10/11Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 45%24/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%6/09Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%20/09
Projected finish3rd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-364/100
3
4
OR 95
10/1
Aggagio silks

Aura Racing

8yo Gelding · 11-2

Born To Sea - Ravage (Verglas)

Caoilin Quinn60%3/14G & J Moore80%
827734
4.0Class ↓3

Course winner who's without a hurdles win since March 2023. Wasn't disgraced when 10¼ lengths fourth here (2¼m) latest, albeit not settling/jumping well in first-time blinkers. Step up in trip should suit and he's fallen to an attractive mark if putting it all together.

Class Advantage

14/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/032/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%14/03Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%12/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%31/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%28/08
Projected finish4th of 4
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-378/100