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15:40 · Kelso

Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 189yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 88
8/1
Lone Star silks

John Cornforth And Peter Rawcliffe

Lone Star

9yo Mare · 11-10

Kayf Tara - Supreme Gem (Supreme Leader)

Oscar Palmer60%P A Kirby
543746
4.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

It's now twelve runs since her last win in 2025 but she arrives in decent nick, sixth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (2½m, good) 20 days ago. Not discounted off a 3 lb lower mark.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par6/0528/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%6/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 78%19/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%9/09Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%14/09
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-745/100
7
Market Fav3
OR 76
2/1
Luminaries silks

Ewan Whillans Racing Club

Luminaries

9yo Gelding · 10-12

Leading Light - Pas De Chapeau (Milan)

Charlie MaggsEwan Whillans80%
990772
4.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Won 4 times (including over 3m here) over hurdles last spring. More poor efforts than good ones since, though revived in first-time blinkers when second of 5 in handicap at Sedgefield (27f, good) last time. Needs to back it up in retained headgear.

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/12 · mark par22/1215/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%22/12Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%7/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%26/07Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-472/100
1
4
OR 92
9/4
Helsgetaway silks

The Red Shoes

Helsgetaway

7yo Gelding · 12-0

Getaway - Heltornic (Zaffaran)

Gregor Walkingshaw0/4−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%
6F4033
6.0
Cheek pieces

Remains a maiden but he kept mistakes to a minimum when a good third of 12 in handicap hurdle over C&D (good) in May. Not out of things on his return off the same mark.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/1218/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par1/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par14/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par24/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%11/12Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%1/11Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%6/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%24/05
Projected finish3rd of 8
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%1-472/100
2
Value2
OR 90
12/1
Theirshegoes silks

Cakemuir Racing

Theirshegoes

9yo Mare · 11-12

Court Cave - Betty Scott (Midnight Legend)

Leah Noreci60%A M Thomson60%
457827
4.0Class ↓3

Came close to ending a lengthy losing run when second at Uttoxeter (23f) in July. Added to a patchy record though when beating only one in handicap at Perth (3m, good) since. Needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

2/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par2/0413/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%2/04Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 45%24/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%15/07Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 14%7/09
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%3-855/100
4
6
OR 85
7/1
Valtteri Its James silks

The 1892 Partnership

Valtteri Its James

5yo Gelding · 11-7

Poet's Word - Bruens Folly (Jeremy)

Jack Power60%0/2L Russell & M Scudamore
06674P
4.0

Point winner. Took a step forward when fourth on handicap debut over hurdles at Newcastle (2½m) in April. Unable to recover from a serious error when pulled up on chasing debut at Hexham (2½m, good) following month but could still do better returned to this sphere after a break.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0129/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par11/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%15/01Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 29%29/01Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 55%21/02Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%14/03Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 73%11/04
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%1-830/100
5
7
OR 81
8/1
My My My Delilah silks

Mr S Coltherd

My My My Delilah

6yo Mare · 11-3

Blue Bresil - Dilys Thomas (Dylan Thomas)

Murray Dodd60%W Coltherd
U94P64
5.0
Tongue strap

Maiden hurdler. Best effort this season with fourth of 10 in handicap at Hexham (2½m, good to soft) in June. Weighted to go well off a 2 lb lower mark here.

Class Advantage

7/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/1225/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par19/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par13/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par24/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%7/12Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%19/03Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%24/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%6/06
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%3-578/100
8
5
OR 75
14/1
Malangen silks

T Hunter & D A Harrison Racing

Malangen

11yo Gelding · 10-11

Born To Sea - Lady's Locket (Fasliyev)

Dominic Hislop60%0/1Miss L Harrison
U28448
4.0

Front-running veteran. Placed 5 times in early summer (including here) but not at his best in recent starts, only eighth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Perth (2½m, good to soft) 10 days ago. Now eighteen runs without a victory.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0621/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%6/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 22%2/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 70%29/08Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 36%24/09
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%3-855/100
6
8
OR 79
25/1
Boston Queen silks

Mr W G Young Jnr

Boston Queen

5yo Mare · 11-1

Rajj - Age Of Diplomacy (Araafa)

Conor Rabbitt0/1W Young Jnr
960BP6
2.0

Showed little in a handful of runs for Gordon Elliott and it was a similar story for his new yard when a well-held sixth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Perth (2m, good to soft) 10 days ago. Needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0613/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%8/06Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%13/07Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%19/09Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%5/10Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 38%24/09
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-742/100