18:23 · Sandown

BetMGM 80s Day Saturday 29 August Handicap

7fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 764/6
Thursday Girl silks

Chris Stedman

3yo Filly · 9-1

Pinatubo - Dream Dana (Dream Ahead)

K Shoemark60%0/3E Walker
52221
8.0Going 9.0

Took advantage of a good opportunity to break her run of seconds and get off the mark in 5-runner maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, good to firm) just under 3 weeks ago, doing do so in workmanlike fashion in a muddling affair. Should be competitive back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/1016/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%2/10Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%16/04Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%12/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%3/07Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Top Pick1
OR 8018/1
Sunny Smile silks

Mr Lit Lung Lee

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Supremacy - Spiritual Lady (Pastoral Pursuits)

David Probert70%H Palmer80%
142022
7.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Successful in a Hamilton maiden (good to firm) last summer. Yet to repeat his juvenile form this season, most recently when second of 6 over C&D (good to firm) last month. Looks vulnerable once again (has had a breathing operation).

Class Advantage

18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0715/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par3/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par4/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%3/09Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%17/06Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 80%4/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 802/1
Ascending Star silks

Noel Fehily Racing Syndicate - Ascendi

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Starman - Dense Star (Starspangledbanner)

Callum Rodriguez60%0/1Owen Burrows
3313
8.0Going 9.0

Third both starts last summer for James Owen. Showed much improved form on stable debut to open his account in 5-runner novice at Lingfield (7.6f, good) on return and matched rather than bettered that form when third of 10 on handicap bow here last month. Remains of interest dropped to 7f.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0618/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0726/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/053/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%14/06Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 60%18/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 78%3/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 855/2
Desert Shadow silks

Godolphin

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Siyouni - Soliloquy (Dubawi)

Oisin Murphy70%0/1S bin Suroor60%
220521
6.0Going 8.0
Visor

Was well backed and having done nothing wrong for a change, readily won 4-runner event at Lingfield (7.6f, good to firm) just over 3 weeks ago, sealing it with a turn of foot. Nudged up 3 lb for that and could well kick on now up and running.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/0830/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par13/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par15/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%7/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%13/03Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%26/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%15/07
Projected finish4th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 849/2
Tavana silks

E S-o Racing - Willow

3yo Filly · 9-9

Havana Grey - Tafilly (Red Rocks)

S M Levey70%0/1E Smyth-Osbourne
749082
5.0Class ↓3

Dual winner at 2 yrs who got back on track returned to calmer waters when second of 6 in handicap at Newbury (7f, firm) just under 3 weeks ago, beaten only by one that was plainly ahead of her mark. Others more appealing for win purposes.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/102/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par16/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength85%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%10/10Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 11%16/05Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 66%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%18/07
Projected finish5th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 7333/1
Lunario silks

Mr Luke Dace

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Gregorian - Levade (Dawn Approach)

Marco Ghiani60%L A Dace70%
897001
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Won back-to-back handicaps in blinkers this time last year (including this race). Well held first 4 starts this season but revived suddenly when winning 17-runner event at Ascot (7f, firm) last month, racing wide from the others from highest draw. No certainty to be in the same mood here.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/106/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par27/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par22/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%14/10Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%27/04Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%1/06Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%11/07
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend