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16:10 · Haydock

Betway Apprentice Handicap

7f 212yGoing TBCClass 53YO onlyTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 758/13
Phantom Watch silks

Ambrose Racing Club Ltd

Phantom Watch

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Mohaather - Abhasana (Hawk Wing)

Liam Wright60%0/1H Palmer70%
523412
7.0Going 9.0Class ↓3
Visor

Advanced his form with breakthrough win in 1m handicap at Newmarket in June. Backed it up with a good second of 7 there (1m, good to firm) since. In the mix after a break.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par29/1029/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par28/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%29/10Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%28/12Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 83%26/06
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 714/1
Sandy Craic silks

Gallop Racing

Sandy Craic

3yo Filly · 9-8

Starman - Beach Wedding (Footstepsinthesand)

C J Whiteley60%0/3D O'Meara60%
255122
7.0Going 8.0

Showed a likeable attitude to get off the mark at Carlisle (7f) last month and has backed it up with good second placings at Beverley and Redcar since. Can go well again off the same mark.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0523/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 90%11/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 56%5/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%4/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%29/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 796/4
Suggy silks

Mr D J M Rees

Suggy

3yo Colt · 10-2

Sergei Prokofiev - Hunterwali (Kyllachy)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbC Hills
221811
7.0

Going from strength to strength and made it 3-4 this season with stylish victory in 9-runner handicap at Wolverhampton 8 days ago, always travelling strongly. Big shout if carrying on the good work back on turf (was runner-up at Bath at 2 yrs).

Class Advantage

30/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par30/1019/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par20/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%30/10Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%20/05Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 7413/2
Home Hero silks

Sustainable Building Services(uk) & Ow

Home Hero

3yo Gelding · 9-11

El Kabeir - Lady's Purse (Doyen)

Luke Catton60%H Palmer70%
438915
5.0
Visor

Visored and much improved to get off the mark in 1m handicap at Sandown 10 days ago, pulling clear with a progressive type. Not seen to best effect under a change of tactics (held up, pulled hard) at Newmarket on Thursday and may still have more to offer.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0930/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 212y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%4/09Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 13%12/06Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%6/08
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 6015/2
Sunshine And Roses silks

Amazing Racing

Sunshine And Roses

3yo Filly · 8-11

Massaat - Sunshineandbubbles (Multiplex)

Rose DawesJ Channon
944071
5.0

Finally gained a first win in 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton 18 days ago. Needs to take a step forward from a 5 lb higher mark here.

Class Advantage

19/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par19/1115/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/12 · mark par22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par25/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par28/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%19/11Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%22/12Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%28/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%21/07
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
6
OR 54150/1
Golden Mabel silks

Rogue Nations

Golden Mabel

3yo Filly · 8-7

Massaat - Caledonian Gold (Acclamation)

Matthew Slater−5lbL Williamson
857868
2.0
Hood

Remains with little solid form and 2 lb out of the weights here.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/045/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 5 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%11/07Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%31/07
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend