15:19 · Redcar

Market Cross Jewellers Classified Stakes

5fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 486/4
Doralee silks

Harrowgate Bloodstock Ltd

5yo Mare · 9-9

Swiss Spirit - Jofranka (Paris House)

D NolanT D Barron
694423
7.0

Won this race 12 months ago and produced solid efforts recently, coming second of 6 at Ripon 12 days ago before third of 7 at Catterick 4 days ago. Sure to go well.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/0426/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 38%30/04Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 11%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%17/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%27/07Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%4/08
Projected finish1st of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 469/1
Pinpoint silks

Newstartracing Com Club

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Due Diligence - Primrose Place (Compton Place)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/1−5lbSuzzanne France
706624
5.0

Two solid in-frame efforts since leaving Ewan Whillans, including fourth of 10 at Beverley 25 days ago, keeping on late. More needed on these terms.

Class Advantage

11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/089/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/12 · mark par10/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par24/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%11/08Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%10/01Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%15/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%14/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
5
OR 4913/2
Gwen Tennyson silks

A Farrell

3yo Filly · 9-6

Starman - Gwen Lady Byron (Dandy Man)

William Pyle70%0/2G Tutty
346792
4.0Class ↓3

Produced first promising effort when second of 7 at Catterick 4 days ago despite being hampered at the start. Quick return and down in classified company for the first time so should figure if this doesn't come too soon.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0511/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%30/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%30/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%4/08
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
2
OR 505/2
Ellie's De Vega silks

The Ellie Hunter Racing Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Lope Y Fernandez - Peak Spirit (Invincible Spirit)

Cieren Fallon80%P A Kirby60%
343352
6.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Good consistency this year for Noel Wilson, running creditably when second of 10 at Newcastle 14 days ago on first go over 5f. Yet to win but is one to take seriously down in classified company for the first time on debut for a new yard.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par3/0517/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%3/05Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%4/06Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%6/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%25/07
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 505/1
Let's Go Hugo silks

Ownaracehorse, Keates And West

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Unfortunately - Barbieri (Encosta De Lago)

Harry Russell60%0/9Ollie Pears
487083
4.0

Has been poor on turf this season, including at this course, but fared better when returned to all-weather last time, finishing third of 10 in a handicap at Newcastle 14 days ago. Back on turf is a concern.

Class Advantage

11/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par11/032/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par22/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%11/03Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%22/04Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%26/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%25/07
Projected finish5th of 7
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 4750/1
Bust A Moon silks

Mr J Morris

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Rumble Inthejungle - Dangerous Moonlite (Acclamation)

Darragh Keenan60%D Shaw
300603
3.0Going 8.0
Hood

Third of 6 at Wolverhampton 8 days ago, running better than on yard debut. Returns to turf but it'll be a very weak race he wins.

Class Advantage

1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/099/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par23/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 85%1/09Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%19/09Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%1/06Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%31/07
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
7
OR 4722/1
Up The Monk silks

Up The Racing Team 4

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Mayson - Angel Song (Dansili)

T Eaves60%M Appleby60%
164870
2.0
Cheek pieces

Unproven on turf but has raced too freely over 6f in recent starts and was 10th of 18 in a handicap at Thirsk in July, though shaped as if needing the run after 3 months off. Steps down to 5f now with cheekpieces back on, which may help.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par29/015/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par24/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par11/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%29/01Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%24/02Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%21/03Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 47%1/07
Projected finish7th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend