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15:14 · Newmarket

William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

1mGoing TBCClass 33YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 777/4
Drymee silks

Parr For The Course

Drymee

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Lope Y Fernandez - Dame Helen (Royal Applause)

Ashley Lewis70%J R Fanshawe60%
4711
7.0Going 8.0

Improving sort who has already proved himself to be effective on any ground, winning his maiden at Lingfield on heavy before following up on handicap bow at Newbury (firm). Had something in hand both times so hat-trick could well be on the cards.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/0920/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/056/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/062/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 70%9/09Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%20/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%2/07
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
2
OR 8725/1
Runswick silks

The Runswick Partnership

Runswick

3yo Colt · 9-6

Ghaiyyath - Belief (Le Havre)

Billy Loughnane90%E A L Dunlop
103218
5.0Going 8.0

Still on the upgrade judged on his all-the-way win at Carlisle and wasn't seen to anything like best effect at Glorious Goodwood 9 days ago. Remains of interest.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/094/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par19/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par30/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%11/09Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%19/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 61%30/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 8511/1
Go Rimbaud silks

Mr George Strawbridge

Go Rimbaud

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Palace Pier - Featuring (Dansili)

R Havlin60%2/5J & T Gosden80%
221510
4.0
Cheek pieces

Improved to win maiden at Kempton on return and, after being gelded, overcame a pace bias at Wolverhampton on second handicap start last month. Seemed unsuited by a similar scenario fitted with this headgear on a bigger stage at Glorious Goodwood but this less competitive.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/105/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par25/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par30/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 92%15/10Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%8/04Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 15 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 15 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 22%30/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 794/1
Luzon Heights silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

Luzon Heights

3yo Colt · 8-12

Pinatubo - Aquatinta (Samum)

Marco Ghiani0/4W J Knight80%
252429
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Chased home subsequent Britannia runner-up at Ascot in May and only just denied by a course specialist when bidding to make all at Yarmouth following month. Found run of good form coming to an abrupt halt at York since but type to bounce back quickly. Headgear goes on.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par13/1014/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 80%13/10Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%8/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%26/06Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%10/07
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
6
OR 9228/1
Looka silks

Mr Omar Esmail Ghrghar

Looka

3yo Colt · 9-11

Munnings - Intentonseduction (Street Sense)

S De Sousa60%1/1M Botti
615
5.0Class ↓2
Hood

Left his debut behind when winning Kempton novice with a hood added last summer but not seen since down the field in the Solario at Sandown later in the month.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a3/076/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0830/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%3/07Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%30/08
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 8811/2
Man Of Vision silks

Godolphin

Man Of Vision

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Dubawi - Summer Romance (Kingman)

Toby Moore60%−7lbC Appleby100%
251290
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

All-weather novice winner at 2. Improved again when just denied at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) on handicap bow/return. Not ideally placed at York next time but disappointed here since. Now tries a new trip with headgear applied.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0531/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par13/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par9/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 80%29/05Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%27/12Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 90%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 62%13/06Pos 13 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 13 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%9/07
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 8740/1
Vincenzo Peruggia silks

AMO Racing Limited

Vincenzo Peruggia

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Lope De Vega - Sliabh Luachra (High Chaparral)

D Egan1/5C Johnston
102700
2.0Class ↓3

Ready winner of Beverley novice last summer. Very good second at Musselburgh on reappearance/handicap debut but hasn't kicked on, albeit in very competitive events the last twice.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0729/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par1/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par30/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%4/04Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 25 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 25 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 17%18/06Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%30/07
Projected finish7th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend