21:14 · Saratoga

Race 10 - Fourstardave Stakes - Grade 1

1mGoing TBC4YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 1189/2
Deterministic silks

St Elias Stable, Langone, Ken, Duncker, C Steven And Vicarage Stable

5yo Horse · 9-0

Liam's Map - Giulio's Jewel (Speightstown)

Kendrick Carmouche60%5/5Miguel Clement60%
211111
10.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

6/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par6/043/05 · C0 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par8/06 · C0 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par2/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par6/06 · C0 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%6/04Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%6/06
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 1107/1
Mi Bago silks

Gary Barber

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Vekoma - Wabanaki (Indian Charlie)

Luis Saez60%Mark Casse60%
018811
8.0

Class Advantage

6/09 · C0 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0924/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par8/03 · C0 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par5/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 9%6/09Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%8/03Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%3/06Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%5/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 11613/2
Classic Q silks

Barber, Gary, Blue Crevalle Racing And Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners

4yo Filly · 8-9

Classic Empire - Lovely Em (Scat Daddy)

John Velazquez60%2/3Mark Casse60%
230211
9.0

Class Advantage

24/10 · C0 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par24/1028/11 · C0 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par24/01 · C0 · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par28/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par2/05 · C0 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par6/06 · C0 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%24/10Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%24/01Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%6/06
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
2
OR 1139/4
Zulu Kingdom silks

Madaket Stables, Llc, Dubb, Michael, Strauss, William And Caruso, Michael J

4yo Colt · 9-0

Ten Sovereigns - Zindziswa (Smart Strike)

Flavien Prat60%6/9Chad Brown60%
11D131
9.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

3/05 · C0 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par3/054/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par1/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par10/04 · C0 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par7/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par5/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%3/05Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 40%1/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 3 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 50%7/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%5/07
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Market Fav6
OR 11811/8
Lagynos silks

Hrh Prince Sultan Bin Mishal Al Saud

5yo Horse · 8-12

Kantharos - Steamy (Speightstown)

Jose Ortiz70%6/8Steven Asmussen60%
211111
9.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

17/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par17/0114/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par21/03 · C0 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C0 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%17/01Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%21/03Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%27/06
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 11611/4
Rhetorical silks

Barber, Gary, Cheyenne Stable, Llc And Wachtel Stable

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Not This Time - Sheet Humor (Distorted Humor)

Irad Ortiz Jr70%5/9William Walden60%
114314
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/084/10 · C0 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par1/11 · C0 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par10/04 · C0 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par2/05 · C0 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par6/06 · C0 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/10 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Actual: 100%24/08Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%1/11Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%6/06
Projected finish6th of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
7
OR 10910/1
Capitol Hill silks

Tranquility Lake Farms Llc

4yo Colt · 8-12

Into Mischief - Meadowsweet (Smart Strike)

Junior Alvarado60%1/8William Mott60%
021124
7.0

Class Advantage

6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0928/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par1/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par12/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par7/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par5/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move3
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 23%6/09Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%1/11Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%7/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%5/07
Projected finish7th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend