16:05 · Uttoxeter

QuinnBet Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m 4fGoodClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 1075/2
Lady Kara silks

Upton House Stud

5yo Mare · 11-11

Kapgarde - Karalee (Martaline)

Luke Scott60%1/7−3lbDr R Newland60%
3111U4
7.0Going 10.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Thriving over hurdles and snatched victory from the jaws of defeat when completing a hat-trick at Newton Abbot in June (lost place but came back in tremendous style in straight). Has yet to show much aptitude for chasing though, jumping none too fluently back at that venue 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par19/044/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par12/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%19/04Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%12/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish1st of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 1044/1
Camarrate silks

Owners Group 127

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Gleneagles - Celtic Cygnet (Arcano)

Theo Gillard70%2/6D McCain Jnr60%
20361P
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Flat-bred gelding who posted a career best when winning 12-runner handicap hurdle at Newcastle (2½m, good) in April but absent since being pulled up at Warwick (21f) a month later. Market best guide now attentions switch to the larger obstacles.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/0931/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par28/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par27/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par22/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par11/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 4f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%27/09Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 15%28/12Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%22/03Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%11/04
Projected finish2nd of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
4
OR 1049/1
Sleeping Satellite silks

The Good Stock Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-8

Mahler - Aneda Dubh (Presenting)

Jack Hogan60%1/2F O'Brien
21345P
5.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Positively ridden to win twice over fences last season, latterly accounting for 5 rivals at Catterick in November. Not in same form in trio of starts following a short break at the turn of the year but he's not on a bad mark on his return.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/1027/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par21/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par8/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/12 · mark par21/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par21/03projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%6/10Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%21/11Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%21/02Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%21/03
Projected finish3rd of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 1065/2
Mr Rafiki silks

Rafiki Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-10

Order Of St George - Baraza (Kalanisi)

R P McLernon60%J & A O'Neill
44442
6.0
Tongue strap

Made more impact than previously when second of 5 in a Worcester maiden hurdle (23f) in July. That was a thin race however, and he looks stable second string on jockey bookings now making handicap debut over fences.

Class Advantage

8/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/1012/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 40%Dist: 2m 4f · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%8/10Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 70%12/04Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%20/05Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%30/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%16/07
Projected finish4th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 11017/2
Gaelic Rambler silks

Mrs E J Wills

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Walk In The Park - Night Of Passion (Winged Love)

Jonjo O'Neill Jr.60%0/6J & A O'Neill80%
2253V6
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Lightly-raced maiden who was twice a runner up over fences at around 2m during the spring. Good third on C&D reappearance (shaped okay in void race here thereafter) and he's a player if dispelling a lesser effort over a longer trip at Worcester (23f) 23 days ago.

Class Advantage

18/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/02 · mark par18/029/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par27/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par21/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%18/02Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%27/03Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%7/07Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 29%23/08
Projected finish5th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 10840/1
Mix Of Clover silks

Miss S Troughton

12yo Gelding · 11-12

Fair Mix - Allforclover (Alflora)

Tom Broughton60%2/6−3lbA Ralph60%
1P3317
6.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Unreliable veteran who sprang a surprise having dropped back down to last winning mark when scoring in 6-runner handicap chase at Worcester (2½m) in July. However, somewhat predictably struggled to back that up on the back of a 6 lb rise back over same C&D 23 days ago.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/0918/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 2m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%26/09Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%10/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%23/08
Projected finish6th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
7
OR 10020/1
Hudson silks

Miss Jayne Brace & Mrs Karen Smith

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Intello - Armoricaine (Kendargent)

James Bowen60%0/2M Bowen60%
47U843
5.0
Cheek pieces

Fair maiden hurdler for Ellmarie Holden in Ireland. Yet to recapture that form for this yard and he failed to build on more promising signs displayed when fourth in a C&D handicap in July when third over this trip at Worcester latest. Still, potentially well handicapped now on pick of hurdles form.

Class Advantage

8/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/0923/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par16/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 95%8/09Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%16/01Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%26/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%23/08
Projected finish7th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
8
OR 9225/1
A Dublin Job silks

Moorland Racing And Mark Hammond

9yo Gelding · 10-10

Ask - Coppervega (Toulon)

James Best0/3S-J Davies60%
65565U
3.0Class ↓2
Visor

Successful first 3 starts over fences for Harry Derham but has struggled for new yard this season, including in a visor last 3 starts, and he was losing his place prior to unseating 2 out at Stratford (23f) 10 days ago. Can only be watched at present.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/0624/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%17/06Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%13/06Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%26/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%15/08
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend