IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. churchill-downs
  3. race-3

17:43 · Churchill Downs

Race 3 - Allowance

1mGoing TBC2YO onlyTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 95
5/2
Majik Mooney silks

Moving Forward Racing, Llc

Majik Mooney

2yo Colt · 8-8

Audible - Play Our Song (Maclean's Music)

Jose Ortiz70%1/1Joe Sharp60%
1
10.0

Class Advantage

5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a5/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.8%Ahead 1/1
6
3
OR 85
4/1
Hit The High Note silks

Dare To Dream Stable, Llc (michael Faber)

Hit The High Note

2yo Colt · 8-10

Tonalist - Capture Your Dream (Uncaptured)

Luis SaezChristophe Davis60%
16
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/08 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a8/089/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 55%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.2%Ahead 2/2
1
2
OR 69
5/1
Spies Like Us silks

Anthony Spinazzola

Spies Like Us

2yo Colt · 8-10

Oscar Performance - Mucha Mezquina (Mucho Macho Man)

Jareth Loveberry60%1/1Whitworth Beckman60%
1
10.0

Class Advantage

6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.6%Ahead 1/1
7
5
OR 85
5/1
Bearamour silks

Charles Marquis

Bearamour

2yo Colt · 8-8

Vekoma - Rockport Beauty (Rockport Harbor)

James Graham60%0/2J Desormeaux60%
136
5.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a2/079/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/0812/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%2/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%9/08Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%12/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 3/3
4
6
OR 53
6/1
That's Fire silks

Bryner, Raymond C And French, Caitlin

That's Fire

2yo Gelding · 8-10

Flameaway - That's All (Maria's Mon)

Assael Espinoza60%1/2Raymond Bryner60%
831
7.0

Class Advantage

11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a11/078/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/083/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%8/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.4%Ahead 2/3
2
4
OR 75
3/1
Sir Hansen silks

Paradise Farms Corp And Staudacher, David

Sir Hansen

2yo Colt · 8-10

Olympiad - Ri N Ginger (Lookin At Lucky)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Michael Maker60%
10
5.0

Class Advantage

19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a19/079/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%9/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.4%Ahead 1/2
5
7
OR 66
15/1
Line Astern silks

Nbs Stable

Line Astern

2yo Colt · 8-8

Divisidero - Kelsey's Shot (Astern)

Adam BeschizzaKelsey Danner
71
7.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 70% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength21%