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13:45 · Sedgefield

Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 178yGoing TBCClass 43YO onlyTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
3/1
Steel Raven silks

Knockout Racing

Steel Raven

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Supremacy - Silver Sabre (Epaulette)

B S Hughes60%A Keatley
No form5.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful 1¼m winner on Flat (stays 11f) who ran really well when second in 11-runner handicap at Ayr (1¼m, soft) 12 days ago, finishing with running left. Likely type for juvenile hurdling.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/061/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par17/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 82%9/06Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 17 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%22/08Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 90%17/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.6%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav2
11/8
Jerseygeordie silks

Mr A Taylor

Jerseygeordie

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Geordieland - La Verte Rue (Johannesburg)

Paul O'Brien60%0/1Harry Derham
3
3.0

Showed nothing in a handful of starts on all-weather for Jamie Osborne but made more impact tried over hurdles after 6 months off when third of 7 in a Newton Abbot juvenile (17f, good) 22 days ago. That form has since been franked by the pair that finished ahead of him, so has to be of interest.

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/1227/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par9/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/03 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%22/12Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%6/01Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%9/03Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.4%Ahead 1/4
6
5
9/4
Watcha Snoop silks

Austin & McCallum

Watcha Snoop

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Coulsty - Scoop (Belardo)

Ryan Mania60%0/1A Nicol
2
4.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Regressive sprinter on Flat and his second on hurdling debut at Cartmel (17f) last month probably says more about the worth of the race overall. Remains to be seen if he's able to build on that.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par6/058/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%6/05Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%27/05Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%1/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 1/4
7
3
50/1
Royal Baroness silks

Mr Steve Dick

Royal Baroness

3yo Filly · 10-9

Frontiersman - Royal Duchess (Dutch Art)

Ben Smith60%−7lbR M Smith
No form4.0

Poor maiden at up to 1m on the Flat who makes little appeal on this switch to hurdling.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0930/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 17%18/09Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 29%30/09Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%17/10Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%18/05Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%5/06
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.4%Ahead 2/4
1
4
25/1
Al Khawaaneej silks

Donald McCain Racing Club

Al Khawaaneej

3yo Colt · 11-2

Australia - Crazy Volume (Machiavellian)

Theo Gillard70%D McCain Jnr80%
No form2.0

Well held in 1m Kempton maiden on sole outing on the Flat for Andrew Balding in late 2025 but is a half-brother to 4 winners, including useful hurdler/chaser Plinth (2m-2¾m winner, by Montjeu), so it's reasonable to believe he could do better now his attentions are switched to hurdling.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/11
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%3/11
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 1/1
3
6
14/1
Keep Under Wraps silks

Mr E A Brook

Keep Under Wraps

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Massaat - Gipsy Doll (Dansili)

Jack Tudor60%0/1O Greenall & J Guerriero
R7
2.0

Son of Massaat who didn't go unsupported but ran out 2 from home (a length in front at time) on Newton Abbot hurdling debut in June. However, sent off 25/1 when well beaten at Uttoxeter since.

Class Advantage

26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/07
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%26/07
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 1/1
5
7
25/1
Time Twister silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Easterby

Time Twister

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Time Test - Souila (Speightstown)

Jamie Hamilton70%0/1M & D Easterby
4
3.0

Modest form in 1¼m handicaps on Flat. Given a considerate introduction to hurdling when fourth of 6 in same race contested by Watcha Snoop at Cartmel (17f) in August and likely to be brought along gradually.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/082/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%26/08Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%23/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%31/08Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 64%14/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.7%Ahead 4/4