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13:45 · Bellewstown

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

7f 195yGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 78
11/4
Save The Sixes silks

Andrew Rosen & Marcstown Farms SC

Save The Sixes

3yo Filly · 9-9

Space Blues - Montefino (Shamardal)

Billy Lee60%Mrs J Harrington60%
81
7.0Going 8.0

220,000 gns Space Blues filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart 1m-1¼m winner Anda Muchacho. Stepped up on debut form to win 15-runner maiden at Roscommon (7.5f) 44 days ago, keeping on well. Opening mark could have been kinder but further progress possible.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/0618/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 42%26/06Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%18/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.8%Ahead 1/2
2
Market Fav2
OR 79
5/2
Lady In Gold silks

Sights On Gold Two Partnership

Lady In Gold

3yo Filly · 9-10

St Mark's Basilica - Al Kirana (Exceed And Excel)

J M Sheridan60%1/2J P O'Brien
81
6.0Going 8.0

Left debut form well behind to win 14-runner maiden at Dundalk (1m) in February. Still looked rough around the edges there so further improvement should be forthcoming on turf/handicap debut.

Class Advantage

23/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0120/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/02projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 42%23/01Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%20/02
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.0%Ahead 1/2
5
3
OR 75
5/1
Star Strewn silks

Adam R Potts & C W J Farrell & B Sheerin

Star Strewn

3yo Filly · 9-6

Starman - Marian Halcombe (Bernardini)

Rory Cleary1/4C W J Farrell60%
318971
6.0
Tongue strap

Stepped up markedly on reappearance/stable debut when doubling her tally in 18-runner handicap at Cork (1m, soft) 22 days ago. Struggled for consistency for former yard, so needs to show she can back that up.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/1111/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par9/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 85%26/11Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%28/02Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%1/09Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.1%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 71
7/1
Tachos silks

Colvin G Ryan

Tachos

5yo Mare · 9-5

Gleneagles - Outside Inside (Holy Roman Emperor)

Reese Holohan−5lbD K Weld70%
905310
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Delivered the sort of performance she has been threatening for a while in first-time cheekpieces when winning 8-runner event at Leopardstown (1m) in August, albeit well positioned. Struggled in a much more competitive race there since but can get back on track now reverting to calmer waters.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par11/0626/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par6/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par20/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par12/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%11/06Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%16/07Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 16 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 16 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 12%12/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 69
7/2
Aquilla Star silks

Kevin E Doyle

Aquilla Star

3yo Filly · 9-0

Starman - Coconut (Australia)

Siobhan Rutledge1/4J C McConnell
272071
6.0

Cashed in on a reduced mark in 14-runner handicap at Galway (8.4f, soft, 10/1) 23 days ago, going clear final 100 yds to score impressively. The assessor has reacted with a 9 lb rise.

Class Advantage

27/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par27/1020/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 93%27/10Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 88%20/07Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%2/08Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.3%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 84
8/1
Duchess Of Kenli silks

Janine Byrne

Duchess Of Kenli

3yo Filly · 10-1

Goken - Princesse Li (Dawn Approach)

Julian Pietropaolo60%−7lbJ P O'Brien
618
4.0

3-y-o from family yard has had success with and didn't go unbacked when making it second time lucky on return at Galway (1m) in July. Failed to build on that promise switched to a handicap at Leopardstown last time, though. 7-lb claimer now takes over in the saddle.

Class Advantage

12/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/1225/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0720/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%12/12Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%20/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.4%Ahead 1/3
4
7
OR 73
16/1
Excuzio Joe silks

Gordon Cranston

Excuzio Joe

9yo Mare · 9-7

Epaulette - Mountrice Lady (Acclamation)

Robbie Colgan0/2M J Smith
229002
5.0

Ran up to best on first run since leaving P. J. F. Murphy when second of 16 in handicap at Galway (7f, good to soft) in July 2024 but has been off the track since.

Class Advantage

29/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/1116/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par22/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par5/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/11 · mark par13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 195y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 53%29/11Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%22/10Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%13/05Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 93%30/07
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 2/4