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13:25 · Ascot

BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

1m 3f 211yGoing TBCClass 14YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 114
13/8
Tenability silks

Miss Yvonne Jacques

Tenability

4yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 5

Frankel - Tirania (Pivotal)

Harry Davies60%W J Haggas
123131
9.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Most progressive when completing a 4-timer (3 C&D handicaps) last September. Won twice at listed level since chasing home Al Aasy in the John Porter on return, setting a sound pace/holding on gamely for a much-improved success at Windsor last time. Set to enhance his excellent course record.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/094/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par18/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par7/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par8/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par29/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%6/09Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%18/04Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 60%8/08Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-374/100
1
2
OR 112
5/2
Al Aasy silks

Shadwell Estate Company Ltd

Al Aasy

9yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 6

Sea The Stars - Kitcara (Shamardal)

D Tudhope60%0/1W J Haggas
592131
9.0

Strong traveller who was given plenty to do when runner-up in this corresponding event 2 years ago. Isn't always the heartiest in a battle, but he was delivered perfectly to land a career-best success in Grade 2 Grand Prix de Deauville latest. No easy task giving 5 lb to the field, though.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/0925/10 · C1 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par18/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par1/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par30/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 50%13/09Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%18/04Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%1/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-464/100
5
4
OR 111
5/1
Royal Power silks

Godolphin

Royal Power

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3

Frankel - Soliloquy (Dubawi)

K Shoemark60%C Appleby60%
323114
7.0Going 9.0
Hood

Beat an equally smart stablemate at Meydan in February 2025. Completed a double in good style in an Abu Dhabi listed race 12 months on (doesn't stand much racing) and not disgraced when beaten 6 lengths in the Sheema Classic latest. Hood refitted for return (goes well fresh) and looks interesting.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/1125/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par20/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par28/03projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%6/11Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%12/07Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%7/02Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%28/03
Projected finish3rd of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-281/100
2
3
OR 108
4/1
By The Book silks

Godolphin

By The Book

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 4

Frankel - Cash In The Hand (Exchange Rate)

Billy Loughnane70%0/1C Appleby60%
133622
6.0Going 10.0

Smart 5-y-o who is lightly raced for his age. Finished behind stablemate Royal Power in the Sheema Classic in March. Back to his best with consecutive runner-up finishes in listed company this summer, doing all he could behind a game one at Chester (14.5f) latest. Needs even more in a better race.

Class Advantage

19/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/1230/01 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par20/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par28/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%19/12Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 71%20/02Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%4/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%22/08
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%2-474/100
4
5
OR 106
14/1
Royal Playwright silks

Mr J C Smith

Royal Playwright

4yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 2

Lope De Vega - Arabian Queen (Dubawi)

Jason Watson70%0/1A M Balding60%
531535
4.0

Useful colt who doubled his tally in a conditions event at Goodwood (1¼m) last September. Has performed creditably at Listed/Group 3 level, not seen since beaten 5¾ lengths on return in the Diomed at Epsom (8.5f) in June. Back up in trip and faces a stiff task following a further 4 months away.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/0723/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par24/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par1/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par28/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par5/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 211y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%10/07Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%24/09Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%28/11Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%5/06
Projected finish5th of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-483/100