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13:02 · Fontwell

KSR Lighting Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase

3m 1f 210yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 96
7/4
Broadway Honey silks

Willy Twiston-Davies

Broadway Honey

6yo Mare · 12-0

Zambezi Sun - Broadway Theatre (King's Theatre)

Toby McCain-Mitchell60%0/1−3lbN & W Twiston-Davies
555513
6.0

Left her hurdles form well behind after 3 months off when making most in novice handicap at Worcester (23f) in September. Similar form under a penalty when third of 7 at Newton Abbot (3¼m) 15 days ago and she can make her presence felt.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par26/0225/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 210y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%26/02Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%9/05Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%10/09Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%18/09
Projected finish1st of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-364/100
3
Market Fav2
OR 72
10/11
Of Corse I Can silks

Jane Nuala Cartwright

Of Corse I Can

9yo Gelding · 10-4

Lord Du Sud - Walk In Corsica (Walk In The Park)

Bradley Harris60%3/9−3lbN P Mulholland60%
565541
7.0
Cheek pieces

Landed this race last year on second chase start and followed up at Newton Abbot. Found things tougher subsequently but, having edged back down in the weights, he returned to winning ways over C&D in September. Can make another bold bid.

Class Advantage

4/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/12 · mark par4/1226/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 210y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%4/12Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%23/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%28/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%6/09
Projected finish2nd of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-278/100
2
3
OR 79
6/1
McGregors Charge silks

Mr Roderick Chelton

McGregors Charge

8yo Gelding · 10-11

Recharge - Triggywinkle (Le Triton)

C P O'Shea60%−3lbP Gundry
754243
6.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Opened account in 3m handicap at Perth last summer (for Ella Pickard) and went close in this year's renewal of the same race. Hasn't been in the same form last 2 starts, finishing a remote third of 6 at Newton Abbot (21f) 15 days ago, but is at least back down to his winning mark.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/043/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 210y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%22/04Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%19/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%7/09Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%18/09
Projected finish3rd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-445/100
4
4
OR 69
14/1
Watchoutitscookie silks

Neil Tucker & Partners

Watchoutitscookie

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Doyen - Medimli (Medaaly)

Murray Dodd60%0/4N J Hawke
370337
4.0

Sole chase success came back in December 2024. Placed twice over 21f this summer but found run of good form coming to a halt when well beaten at Stratford (23f) last month. Has work to do from 1 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/0419/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 210y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%17/04Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%7/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%25/08Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%5/09
Projected finish4th of 4
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-478/100