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19:30 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap

1m 6f 21yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 66
5/4
Shopaholic silks

Mr J Mitchell

Shopaholic

4yo Filly · 10-2 · Draw 2

Without Parole - Madison Avenue (Golden Horn)

Donagh Murphy60%−5lbJack Jones
792361
6.0

Got off the mark when winning 6-runner 16.5f handicap at Wolverhampton last time by 1¼ lengths from Niffler. Up 5 lb but still unexposed as a stayer and likely to make another bold bid with useful apprentice taking over.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/054/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 21y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%19/05Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%21/07Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 17%30/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-456/100
4
2
OR 58
6/4
Blue Tulip silks

Foursome Thoroughbreds

Blue Tulip

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3

Space Blues - La Tulipe (Authorized)

Jack DoughtyW Muir & C Grassick
566132
6.0

Overcame an interrupted passage when opening her account in handicap at Wolverhampton (1½m) in July. Bounced back from below-par effort when 5½ lengths second of 6 to Edwardtheninth in C&D handicap last time. Cheekpieces removed. One to consider.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0617/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 21y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 67%4/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%14/07Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%15/08Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 80%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-456/100
3
3
OR 65
9/2
Astrid silks

Mrs Jane Dollar & Normandie Stud

Astrid

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 4

Almanzor - Dance Toupie (Dansili)

Darragh Keenan60%James Horton
732
5.0

Lightly-raced filly who matched her previous best effort when 7½ lengths second of 5 to Affettuoso in 1½m novice at Lingfield last time. Makes handicap debut but has stamina to prove now stepping up further in trip.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/0418/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0812/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength67%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 21y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 45%20/04Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%18/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-177/100
2
4
OR 65
33/1
Thankyou Baroness silks

Mrs I Gansera-leveque

Thankyou Baroness

5yo Mare · 10-1 · Draw 5

Sea The Moon - Tosca (Amadeus Wolf)

Benoit D L Sayette60%1/5Mrs I G-Leveque
148068
3.0Class ↓3

Won 1½m handicap at Doncaster last summer, but has gone with very little encouragement since, including on all 3 starts this year.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/0614/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par17/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par27/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 21y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%17/09Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%27/02Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%10/09
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%4-581/100
5
5
OR 58
20/1
Kindly Queen silks

Three Lilywhites Ltd

Kindly Queen

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 1

Nathaniel - Queen Kazeem (Oasis Dream)

Christian Howarth60%C N Kellett60%
253979
2.0Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Maiden. Second in an 11.5f handicap at Windsor for Ralph Beckett in May but no obvious promise in 3 outings for current yard.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0511/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 21y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 89%11/05Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%27/06Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 45%2/09Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%19/09
Projected finish5th of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-570/100