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18:00 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap

6f 16yStandardClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Top Pick1
OR 66
5/1
Insuspense silks

Quest Thoroughbreds - Insuspense

Insuspense

4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 5

Bated Breath - Incharge (Kingman)

William Carver60%1/1R Burdon
227531
7.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Reliable sort who got off the mark (on just her second run for current yard) in good style in 13-runner handicap over C&D 19 days ago. Up 5 lb but another bold showing is on the cards.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/0326/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par23/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%13/03Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 54%23/05Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%30/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%17/09
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-664/100
5
Market Fav2
OR 67
7/2
Black Orchid silks

AMO Racing Limited

Black Orchid

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 2

Ardad - Squash (Pastoral Pursuits)

Rowan Scott60%0/1R A Fahey60%
2222
8.0Going 7.0

Ardad filly is proving consistent and was runner-up for the fourth time in 6-runner novice here (5f) 33 days ago. Winner has gone in again since so she's not out of things on her handicap debut.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/054/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0616/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/083/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f 16y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%17/05Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%4/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%16/08Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 80%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-845/100
10
3
OR 62
8/1
Fantasy Obsessor silks

The Fantasy Fellowship

Fantasy Obsessor

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 8

Mayson - Fantasy Lover (Due Diligence)

Ray Dawson60%2/6M Appleby60%
252752
6.0Going 8.0

It's now thirteen runs since her last success in 2025 but she posted a creditable second of 12 to a thriving one in handicap over C&D last time. This C&D winner needs considering.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/0518/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f 16y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%21/05Pos 5 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 5 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%26/06Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%24/07Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-664/100
12
4
OR 61
6/1
Overbudget silks

Matt Broughton & Hold My Beer Syndicat

Overbudget

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7

Mehmas - L'age D'or (Iffraaj)

A Mullen70%0/1M Appleby60%
376981
5.0Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Failed to go on for Dylan Cunha but got off the mark on her third run for current yard under front-running tactics in 12-runner handicap over C&D 2 weeks ago. Not out of things despite a 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0612/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par22/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%4/06Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%26/06Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 11%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%8/09Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%22/09
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-757/100
6
7
OR 67
7/1
Storm Esme silks

Habton Racing

Storm Esme

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 3

Palace Pier - Fen Breeze (Bated Breath)

D Allan60%1/6T D Easterby60%
085841
5.0Class ↓4Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Bounced back to form (cheekpieces refitted) to land 14-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) 31 days ago. Up 6 lb but travelled smoothly there and can go well again with headgear retained.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/052/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 6f 16y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%15/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%20/06Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%11/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish5th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%1-570/100
11
6
OR 62
12/1
Daytona Lady silks

Ruth Carr Racing Club

Daytona Lady

6yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 1

Bungle Inthejungle - Roseau City (Cityscape)

J P Sullivan60%4/32Mrs R Carr60%
772853
5.0
Cheek pieces

C&D winner but she's an unreliable sort overall. Recorded a creditable third of 10 in 6f handicap at Wolverhampton 15 days ago and needs to back it up now.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/076/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%6/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%17/08Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%8/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%21/09
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%1-850/100
7
5
OR 67
10/1
Remi Mae silks

Norman Court Stud & Susan Bunney

Remi Mae

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 6

Invincible Spirit - Indian Blessing (Sepoy)

Callum Hutchinson60%A M Balding60%
03D310
6.0Going 7.0
Tongue strap

Opened her account at Kempton (6f) in September but only tenth of 12 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good) 20 days ago. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage

16/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par16/0127/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par21/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%16/01Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%21/07Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%2/09Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 18%16/09
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%6-1070/100
9
9
OR 67
20/1
Moira Express silks

Mr Maj Green, Mr S Croft & Mr S Whitak

Moira Express

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 9

Mehmas - Camayork (Camacho)

P Mulrennan60%S Whitaker
474325
4.0Going 7.0

Twice placed in 5f handicaps at Wolverhampton but a below-form fifth of 9 in 6f maiden there when last seen out 10 months ago for Roger Varian. Needs to hit the ground running for her new handler.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/057/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par3/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par25/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par25/11projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%4/05Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%6/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%3/11Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%25/11
Projected finish8th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%1-1027/100
4
8
OR 68
14/1
Clementines Star silks

Star Racing Club Limited

Clementines Star

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 11

A'ali - Blue Geranium (Dansili)

Rob HornbyD & C Kubler
332130
6.0Going 8.0

Front runner who got off the mark in 7f maiden at Thirsk in July. Solid third in handicap at Chepstow (7f) next time but came in last of 10 in the mud at Haydock (7f) latest. Could bounce back.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/1113/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%17/11Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 91%5/07Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 67%6/08Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%8-1079/100
2
10
OR 67
14/1
Keldeo silks

Ownaracehorse, Opears And T&T Racing L

Keldeo

5yo Mare · 9-9 · Draw 4

Land Force - Kept Under Wraps (Clodovil)

Harry Russell1/10Ollie Pears
442949
3.0

Scored at Catterick (6f) in April and largely in good form since, though she came in last of 9 there (5f, good) last time. Needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/053/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%18/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%16/06Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%17/08Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%8/09
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%6-1070/100