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18:45 · Newcastle

AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap

1m 5yStandardClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick
OR 73
10/1
Cosmos Raj silks

Nick Crummack & Partner

Cosmos Raj

8yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 9

Iffraaj - Cosmos Pink (Dansili)

C J Whiteley10%0/2−5lbD O'Meara70%Synergy 36
414182
7.0
Going 90Course 0
Cheek pieces

Back to form when capitalising on a much reduced mark at Redcar in August and went in again from the front at that same track (in this headgear) last month. Not in same form 24 hours later at Beverley but wasted no time bouncing back when second at Wolverhampton. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/0822/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par5/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par5/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 90Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%5/08Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%1/09Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 22%16/09Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 90%5/10
Projected finish1st of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-850/100
8
Value
OR 70
6/1
Coramento silks

Mr Ray Craggs

Coramento

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 14

Portamento - Coral Queen (Desideratum)

T Eaves10%0/3R CraggsSynergy 29
669141
8.0
Going 60Course 63

All 5 career wins have come here, including 2 of last 3 starts after rejoining this yard. Forced into a higher grade now but he's thriving.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par1/0123/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/01 · mark par31/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par2/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/10projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 60Course · 63Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%1/01Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%31/01Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%5/09Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%2/10
Projected finish2nd of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-850/100
10
OR 72
7/1
Director's Cut silks

High Noon Thoroughbreds

Director's Cut

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 11

Palace Pier - Lights On Me (Kyllachy)

Jason Hart10%R BurdonSynergy 29
515500
4.0
Going 62Course 100

Won C&D novice for the Gosdens last autumn. Has failed to kick on this year, however, including running poorly both starts for this yard.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/1127/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par11/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 62Course · 100Dist: 1m 5y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 56%8/11Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%8/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 31%29/06Pos 16 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 6%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 11
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-755/100
4
OR 71
11/2
Camino Del Ray silks

Star Cottage Stud

Camino Del Ray

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 4

Cable Bay - Twinkle Twinkle (Exceed And Excel)

Tom Kiely-Marshall10%0/3Miss J A Camacho60%Synergy 11
561484
6.0
Going 56Course 0
Cheek pieces

Back to best fitted with headgear when winning at Southwell in March but has failed to reproduce that in 3 subsequent outings, though he fared a bit better when fourth back there last time.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/075/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par3/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 56Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%20/07Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%10/03Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%22/08Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%3/10
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%1-850/100
14
OR 66
13/2
Criminal Shore silks

Santorini Tb - Criminal Shore & Partne

Criminal Shore

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 1

Kodiac - Ceist Eile (Noverre)

Mark Winn10%0/8D O'Meara80%Synergy 39
063570
4.0
Going 47Course 47
Visor

Infrequent winner but did score over C&D in June off 4 lb higher. Ran poorly over 7f here 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/0815/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par25/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par12/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par12/10projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 47Course · 47Dist: 1m 5y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%2/09Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 43%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%25/09Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%12/10
Projected finish5th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%5-1064/100
2
OR 72
6/1
Project Geofin silks

The Stinger Partnership

Project Geofin

5yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 3

Calyx - Bond Artist (Excellent Art)

P J McDonald10%3/12G R Oldroyd60%Synergy 54
970380
3.0
Going 11Course 11
1st Cheekpieces +2

Recorded back-to-back wins last summer. Standout effort from 4 starts this season when third in Class 5 event at Doncaster (had won race the previous year) in August. Struggled in the mud both starts since but will find this more suitable (twice a winner here). Cheekpieces on and back down in trip.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/1130/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par13/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par10/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/10projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 11Course · 11Dist: 1m 5y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 11%27/11Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%13/05Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%29/08Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%10/10
Projected finish6th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-1029/100
6
OR 71
18/1
D Flawless silks

Ursa Major & Sapphire Print Solutions

D Flawless

5yo Mare · 9-9 · Draw 10

Make Believe - Savaanah (Olden Times)

Rhys Elliott10%0/1−5lbK Scott60%Synergy 11
614536
4.0Class ↓3
Going 63Course 63
1st Eye Shield +1Hood

Winner here (6f) in March and has continued in good heart, including when starting out for this yard here 4 weeks ago after 3 months off. Won her maiden over this trip as a 3-y-o.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par6/0227/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par21/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par1/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/10projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 63Course · 63

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%6/02Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%2/06Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%9/07Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%1/10
Projected finish7th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%6-1070/100
7
Market Fav
OR 71
7/2
Mwafaq silks

Richard Fahey Ebor Racing Club Ltd

Mwafaq

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 6

Mehmas - Pivotal Lady (Pivotal)

Ethan Tindall10%4/8−5lbR A Fahey80%Synergy 11
112579
3.0
Going 38Course 25
Cheek pieces

Recorded win number 5 at Doncaster in July and went close to completing a second hat-trick when touched off at Hamilton. Remained in form until a below-par effort at Pontefract 25 days ago.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/063/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par5/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par5/10projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 38Course · 25Dist: 1m 5y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%1/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 25%3/09Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%5/10
Projected finish8th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
30%3-1050/100
3
OR 75
15/2
Blue To Blue silks

Drew & Ailsa Russell

Blue To Blue

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 2

Blue Point - Hazaraba (Oasis Dream)

D Allan10%0/1Ruth Jefferson60%Synergy 35
250300
2.0
Going 0Course 0
1st Hood +1

Triple winner for Karl Burke in 2025. Mixed bag for new connections, well held last 2 starts in this sphere before pulled up on hurdles bow 5 weeks ago. Hood now applied.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/0530/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par27/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par19/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par11/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%9/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%11/08Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%3/09
Projected finish9th of 11
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%1-940/100
12
OR 68
50/1
Lone Piper silks

P J Makin

Lone Piper

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8

Kingman - Guilty Twelve (Giant's Causeway)

S H James40%Phillip Makin60%Synergy 54
165778
2.0
Going 0Course 0
Cheek pieces

Signed off 2024 with a win at Windsor from 4 lb higher. Restricted to just 4 runs last year, however, and offered little starting out for this yard at Musselburgh after 13 months off 18 days ago. Headgear back on.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/0912/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par12/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par12/10projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%16/09Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 62%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%6/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%8/09Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%12/10
Projected finish10th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%8-1081/100
9
OR 73
20/1
Regal Desire silks

Elwick Stud

Regal Desire

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 12

Masar - Just Jealous (Lope De Vega)

P Mulrennan10%B EllisonSynergy 40
2298
3.0
Going 45Course 0

Runner-up first 2 starts in maidens but was only eighth of 13 on handicap bow at Pontefract last time despite running up to her best.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0523/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/065/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/095/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par5/10projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 45Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 90%21/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%23/06Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%5/09Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 42%5/10
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-1026/100