IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. southwell
  3. race-4

17:40 · Southwell

AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m 13yStandardClass 43YO plusALLWEATHER9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Top Pick
OR 78
4/1
Star Mirage silks

Wathnan Racing

Star Mirage

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 2

Street Sense - Conquest Sweetride (Candy Ride)

Marco Ghiani10%H Al Jehani80%Synergy 46
320723
5.0Class ↓1
Going 61Course 0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Fairly useful maiden. Cheekpieces on for first time when a below-form third of 6 in novice at Newcastle (1m) 29 days ago. Tongue strap goes on now with bounce back needed.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/1119/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par4/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par2/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/10projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 61Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 60%21/11Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%4/09Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%2/10
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-659/100
2
Value
OR 75
5/1
Baandee silks

Mr J Morland

Baandee

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3

Zoustar - Josefa Goya (Sakhee's Secret)

Jack Callan20%Jack Morland60%Synergy 61
2222
7.0
Going 89Course 0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Fair form when runner-up on all her 4 runs, on turf debut in 6-runner novice at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm) 6 months ago. Makes tapeta debut with cheekpieces on for first time and plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0930/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/1012/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/0330/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 89Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 90%18/09Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%30/10Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%12/03Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%30/04
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-372/100
1
Market Fav
5/2
Always Sunny silks

Mr M Tabor

Always Sunny

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 9

St Mark's Basilica - Opera Society (Declaration Of War)

Hollie DoyleSimon CrisfordSynergy 63
2
7.0
Going 80Course 0

Promising second of 6 in novice at Newcastle (1m, 11/2) on debut 29 days ago, badly hampered under 2f out. This St Mark's Basilica filly seems sure to do better. Big shout.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 80Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%2/10
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-550/100
6
10/3
Maneuver silks

The Thoroughbred Racing Corporation Lt

Maneuver

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 1

Sea The Stars - Monaawara (Siyouni)

R Havlin10%J & T Gosden60%Synergy 40
23U
6.0
Going 88Course 0

Sea The Stars filly who briefly looked in control before fading into third in an Ascot maiden (1m) in September 2025. 3/1, unseated rider at the start in novice at Newcastle (1m) on belated return 29 days ago. Should still improve.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/085/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 88Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 88%13/08Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%5/09
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%4-471/100
4
8/1
Francesca's Dream silks

Mr D Chadwick

Francesca's Dream

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 6

Far Above - Sweet Bonnet (Zoffany)

Rowan Scott10%H Palmer60%Synergy 36
No form3.0
Going 0Course 0

£10,000 yearling, Far Above filly. Dam unraced. A considered newcomer, especially if the market vibes are positive.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish5th of 950% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength58%
5
12/1
Light Snowfall silks

Godolphin

Light Snowfall

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4

Too Darn Hot - Wanderwell (New Approach)

K Stott40%S bin SuroorSynergy 61
4
4.0
Going 50Course 50

11/2, very green when fourth of 7 in novice here (7f) on debut 21 days ago, slowly away. This daughter of Too Darn Hot can take a step forward.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50Course · 50Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%10/10
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%2-750/100
7
10/1
Merveilleux Rousse silks

Mr Patryk Gorczyca

Merveilleux Rousse

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7

Starman - It's Miraculous (Curlin)

Jason Hart10%Owen Burrows70%Course spec.Synergy 64
No form3.0
Going 0Course 0

(Production):€20,000Y: second foal: half-sister to useful winner abroad up to 1½m Merveilleux Lapin (2-y-o 7f winner, by Mohaather): dam unraced.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 925% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength47%
3
66/1
Espressona Signora silks

Gihan Arnolda

Espressona Signora

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5

Roseman - Monster Munchie (Deep Impact)

William Carson10%Gihan ArnoldaSynergy 21
5
2.0
Going 43Course 0

125/1, never-dangerous fifth of 8 in maiden at Kempton (1m) on debut 19 days ago. This Roseman filly needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 43Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 43%12/10
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%3-850/100
9
100/1
Tilsworth Emma silks

Mr M Ng

Tilsworth Emma

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 8

Logician - Pallas (Statue Of Liberty)

Oliver Carmichael10%0/1−7lbJ R JenkinsSynergy 11
65
3.0
Going 17Course 0

200/1, last of 5 in novice at Yarmouth (1m, good) 26 days ago. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/095/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17Course · 0Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 17%9/09Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%5/10
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%9-971/100