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18:58 · Sandown

Community Fund For Elmbridge Handicap

1mGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
2
OR 755/1
Kodi Fire silks

Hills Angels

Kodi Fire

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Kodi Bear - Emilandra (Slade Power)

Jason Watson70%3/4C Hills80%
058412
7.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Stepped up on his previous efforts this year to win 6-runner event at Chepstow last month (1m, good to firm), acknowledging he had the run of things. Ran at least as well in defeat when second of 6 there 8 days later and not out of things nudged up a further 2 lb.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/097/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 7%20/09Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%23/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%16/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%24/07
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 688/13
Great Blasket silks

Mr Paul L Drinkwater

Great Blasket

6yo Gelding · 9-7

Gregorian - Dream Belle (Oasis Dream)

Oisin Murphy70%James Owen70%
943761
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Visor

Had a first-time visor applied and justified support in comfortable fashion for new connections in 5-runner event at Nottingham (8.3f, good) last week, drawing clear final 1f for hands-and-heels riding. Carries a 5-lb penalty here and fancied to take some stopping for his excellent new handler.

Class Advantage

26/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/01 · mark par26/017/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par31/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%26/01Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%31/05Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%27/06Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%30/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
4
OR 717/1
War Chant silks

Miss V Markowiak

War Chant

6yo Gelding · 9-5

War Command - Fanci That (Elnadim)

David Probert70%1/3Jack Jones80%
488345
4.0Going 8.0

Has stood little racing in recent years and ran poorly on first outing for 6 months/since leaving Edward Smyth-Osbourne at Yarmouth (1m, good to firm) recently. Handicapper drops him a chunk, but he has a bit to prove.

Class Advantage

12/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/12 · mark par12/1224/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par6/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par18/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par15/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/01 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%12/12Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%6/11Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%15/01Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%23/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 7433/1
Bubbles Wonky silks

Only One Bid Partnership

Bubbles Wonky

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Lope De Vega - Belle Josephine (Dubawi)

K Shoemark60%M Pattinson
794333
6.0Class ↓3

Yet to score for current connections but arrives in form, running as well as could've been expected when third of 6 over C&D (good) just under a fortnight ago. Back down in grade but likely to find a couple too strong.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par15/0127/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par12/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%15/01Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%12/03Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%20/05Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%24/07
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 6925/1
Amused silks

Mr P And Mrs L Rowe And Mr John Turner

Amused

4yo Gelding · 9-3

No Nay Never - Happy Face (Kingman)

Callum Rodriguez60%J R Boyle
502002
5.0

Won a 7f claimer in France last summer. Mixed bag for current connections, though bounced back to form when second of 12 over C&D (good) a fortnight ago. His task is to now back that up.

Class Advantage

10/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par10/1228/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 64%10/12Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%1/06Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%3/07Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 91%23/07
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 7425/1
H Key Lails silks

Mr Martyn Cruse

H Key Lails

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Washington Dc - Natural Appeal (Dark Angel)

James Glennon1/2−7lbM J Attwater60%
233177
4.0
Cheek pieces

Had a productive winter on the all-weather before making a winning return on the turf at Lingfield (7f) in June. Looks to be too high in the weights judged on both subsequent efforts so others more appealing.

Class Advantage

12/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par12/0129/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par7/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%12/01Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%7/03Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%3/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%24/07
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend