19:12 · Ellis Park

Race 6 - Allowance

5f 110yGoing TBC3YO onlyTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
3
OR 9115/2
Just A Minute silks

G Humphrey, Jr

3yo Filly · 8-8

Not This Time - Breaking Beauty (Into Mischief)

Mario Gutierrez60%0/2Victoria Oliver60%
189613
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

26/11 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a26/117/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%26/11Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%9/04Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%5/07
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Market Fav4
OR 927/2
Alta Avenue silks

Jacobson Racing

3yo Filly · 8-6

Tacitus - Atala (Stormy Atlantic)

Rafael Bejarano0/1David Jacobson60%
441222
7.0

Class Advantage

3/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/0423/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%3/04Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%24/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%11/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Top Pick1
OR 9012/1
French Friction silks

D J Stable LLC

3yo Filly · 8-6

City Of Light - Private Ensign (A.p. Indy)

Cristian Torres60%2/4Mark Casse60%
1149
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

27/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a27/1214/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par14/023/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/041/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%27/12Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%14/02Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%3/04Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%1/05
Projected finish3rd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
2
OR 8725/1
Storm Cloud Rising silks

Bryan Carney

3yo Filly · 8-6

Runhappy - Demigoddess (First Dude)

Summer Pauly−5lbAndres Cambray60%
707691
5.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

22/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par22/0212/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%22/02Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%28/05Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%26/06Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%26/07
Projected finish4th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 9113/2
Kingsolver silks

Storyteller Racing, Schroeck, Michael, Open Gate Horse Ventures, Cahoe, Brian, Catlett, Scott, Russel, Dave, Ransdell, Matthew, Motley, Michael And Braun, Joel

3yo Filly · 8-6

Omaha Beach - Famous Writer (Speightstown)

Ben Curtis60%Rodolphe Brisset60%
145257
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

3/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/1024/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par3/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par7/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par28/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%3/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%3/04Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%7/06Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%28/06
Projected finish5th of 7
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
6
OR 925/1
La Puma silks

John Donaldson

3yo Filly · 8-8

Not This Time - Cougarstown (Speightstown)

Jaime Torres60%Rey Hernandez60%
475115
6.0

Class Advantage

16/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a16/097/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par13/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par10/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%16/09Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%17/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 64%10/07
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 8712/1
Pulstar silks

Howard, Mary Anne, Howard, George, Simpson, Brian S And Mills, Joseph Chad

3yo Filly · 8-6

Kantharos - Bellerue (Quality Road)

Alex Achard0/1Mary Howard
186527
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/078/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par3/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par17/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%27/07Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%3/04Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%17/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%10/07
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend