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18:40 · Lingfield

Hewanorra Handicap

7f 1yStandardClass 43YO plusPOLYTRACKHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 7111/1
Bold Suitor silks

Equestrian R Infinity Ltd

Bold Suitor

9yo Gelding · 9-4

Brazen Beau - Samasana (Redback)

Georgia Dobie60%5/25Craig Benton
434215
7.0Going 8.0

Veteran who often gives his running and came in for a good ride when narrow winner over C&D in April. Didn't settle fully back at 1m at Kempton since but this is a better race than he need contest.

Class Advantage

15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/092/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par14/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%15/09Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%2/03Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%10/06
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav4
OR 814/1
Huscal silks

Rosehill Racing Ii

Huscal

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Saxon Warrior - Gravity Queen (Holy Roman Emperor)

Jason Watson70%1/6C Hills60%
208432
5.0Going 7.0
Tongue strap

On long losing run but went close a couple of times on the all-weather last autumn and good placed efforts on turf last month. Form suggests he's a bit better on all-weather so potentially on a good mark back on this surface.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par5/1116/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par6/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par25/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par15/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 92%5/11Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 42%6/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 85%2/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%15/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 7510/1
Arantes Nascimento silks

Dare To Dream Racing

Arantes Nascimento

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Charm Spirit - Flame Out (Excelebration)

Benoit D L Sayette60%M J Attwater
271226
5.0Going 8.0

Versatile sort who is holding his form really well this year. Runner-up 5 times either side of his success at Kempton in April. Not beaten far when sixth of 17 at Ascot 4 weeks ago and should be competitive again.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/0218/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/03 · mark par8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%26/02Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%8/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%9/06Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 69%11/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 749/2
Tattie Bogle silks

Kingsley Park Owners Club

Tattie Bogle

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Outstrip - Tottie (Fantastic Light)

Callum Shepherd70%0/3C Johnston60%
321272
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Recorded second win of the season at Beverley in June and good runner-up efforts off revised mark next 2 of 3 starts. First-time headgear could eke out a bit more.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/0611/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%1/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 14%4/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%20/07
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
7
OR 829/1
Rogue Supremacy silks

The Rogues Gallery

Rogue Supremacy

3yo Gelding · 9-9

St Mark's Basilica - Mighty Spirit (Acclamation)

L Morris80%0/7A Watson60%
387559
2.0Class ↓3

Struggling for form at present and best watched until showing more.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/033/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par16/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par25/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%13/03Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%16/04Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%10/06Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 11%14/07
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 7840/1
Port Road silks

Mr M Convey

Port Road

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Quality Road - Tacking (Mizzen Mast)

Harry Davies60%S Dow
916180
5.0

As good as ever when winning over C&D in April but well below that level next 2 starts so needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

8/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/12 · mark par8/127/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/01 · mark par21/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par27/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 7f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 11%8/12Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%21/01Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%20/05Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 31%11/07
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 7212/1
Red Hat Eagle silks

Pmg Partnership

Red Hat Eagle

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Gleneagles - Sabaweeya (Street Cry)

Taylor Fisher60%W J Knight80%
575547
4.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Back-to-back winner 2 summers ago. Hasn't been at that level since returning from a 17-month absence in February, often failing to settle.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/0220/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 1y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%28/02Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%30/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%26/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%11/07
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend