16:31 · Redcar

Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap

5f 217yGoing TBCClass 53YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
4
OR 7914/1
French Affair silks

Pompey Ventures & Jps Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-13

Mehmas - Clearly Crystal (Exceed And Excel)

S D Bowen60%J Candlish
542461
6.0Class ↓3

Gained a deserved success (formerly with Richard Hannon) for new yard in 26-runner handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to firm) 10 days ago, doing well to overcome troubled passage. Has to be taken seriously despite 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/049/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par5/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par29/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%5/04Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 95%23/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 58%20/06Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%29/07
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Top Pick1
OR 6833/1
Bleep Test silks

Reality Partnerships Vi

3yo Filly · 9-2

Time Test - Poudretteite (Royal Applause)

D Allan60%1/6T D Easterby90%
234080
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Won maiden over C&D last May. Yet to offer much in 3 runs this season, tongue tied when last of 12 in handicap at York (7f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time now.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0625/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 50%22/06Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%9/07Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%25/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 6725/1
Bye Law silks

Mr D Sturdy, Mr D Lumley & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Invincible Army - Virtually (Virtual)

D Fentiman1/6T D Easterby60%
660330
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

C&D winner last August. In good form until tried in cheekpieces for 1st time when thirteenth of 14 in handicap at York (6f, good to firm) last time out. Bounce back required.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/044/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 58%16/04Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 37%23/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%17/06Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%27/06
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 755/1
Space Bear silks

Foster Bloodstock

3yo Filly · 9-9

Space Blues - Embraceable You (New Approach)

Cieren Fallon80%M Appleby
139230
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Free-goer who opened her turf account at Yarmouth in April. In good form since until failing to beat a rival in handicap at York 15 days ago. Sort to bounce back.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/0430/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par17/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%21/04Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%17/05Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%3/07Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%24/07
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 676/1
Brave Traveller silks

The Smart Set Ii

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Lope Y Fernandez - Choisette (Choisir)

Cam Hardie70%0/1B Smart
592732
5.0

Got off the mark at Newcastle (6f) in December and arrives in very good nick, second of 12 to Houndhill in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 8 days ago. One to consider.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par21/038/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%21/03Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%19/05Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 82%25/06Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 91%31/07
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
7
OR 668/1
Houndhill silks

J Raybould N Skinner D Jenkins

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Havana Gold - Lamutanaahy (Exceed And Excel)

Alex Jary60%1/6−3lbN Tinkler60%
810081
5.0
Visor

Refitted with a visor when back to winning ways in 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f) 8 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Brave Traveller. Needs to show he's as effective on turf now.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/0519/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%4/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%12/06Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%16/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish6th of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Market Fav6
OR 694/1
Masaban silks

Mr Richard Christison

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Siyouni - Massinga (Selkirk)

O J Orr60%E Bethell
861352
6.0Going 8.0

Ex-Irish gelding landed a gamble on handicap debut at Ripon (1m) in May. Mainly in good nick since, second of 9 at Catterick (7f, firm) last time. Should remain competitive.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0824/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 217y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%15/08Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 85%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 33%21/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%8/07
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend