7
Cosmos Raj
8yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 66
Beverley · Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |