IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. churchill-downs
  3. race-6

19:17 · Churchill Downs

Race 6 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
2
OR 77
15/1
Ducat silks

Hayden Thoroughbreds, Howard, Forrest And Bauer, James

Ducat

3yo Filly · 8-6

Essential Quality - Royal Mandate (Strong Mandate)

Adam Beschizza1/2Shelbi Kurtz60%
373517
6.0

Class Advantage

14/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par14/0214/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par11/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%14/02Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%11/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%12/06Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%17/07
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.3%Ahead 2/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 69
5/1
Dancewhenyoucan silks

Four Corners Racing, Cory Moelis Racing Llc And Sussman, Jeremy

Dancewhenyoucan

3yo Filly · 8-6

Known Agenda - Dance Thewayyouare (Mineshaft)

Mario Gutierrez2/3Matt Shirer60%
591185
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

14/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par14/1214/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par25/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par17/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par26/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%14/12Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%17/06Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%26/07
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.8%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 92
3/1
Modern Sound silks

Will Harbut Racing, Llc

Modern Sound

5yo Mare · 8-9

Audible - Modern Masterpiece (Speightstown)

Tyler Gaffalione0/1Michael Maker
358134
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

7/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par7/1127/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par15/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par26/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par26/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par21/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%7/11Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%15/02Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%26/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%21/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.4%Ahead 1/4
7
3
OR 71
6/1
Glazin' Fury silks

Rice, Linda And Treadway Iii, Frank B

Glazin' Fury

3yo Filly · 8-6

Mitole - View From The Top (Sky Mesa)

Ben CurtisLinda Rice60%
619167
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par11/1019/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par14/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par2/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par11/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%11/10Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%14/02Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%15/05Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%11/07
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.3%Ahead 1/4
11
8
OR 70
10/1
Call Me Angel silks

Southwest Racing Stables, Inc, O'rielly, Brian, Link, Matt And Little, Alfred

Call Me Angel

3yo Filly · 8-8

Instagrand - Another Angel (English Channel)

Edgar Morales60%Genaro Garcia60%
605171
6.0

Class Advantage

2/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par2/1121/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par15/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%2/11Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%15/06Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%13/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.6%Ahead 2/4
12
7
OR 73
4/1
Diagram silks

Conrad, Barry And Carol

Diagram

4yo Filly · 8-9

Liam's Map - Raison D'etre (Medaglia D'oro)

Axel Concepcion60%1/3W Calhoun
350011
5.0

Class Advantage

5/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/064/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par29/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par17/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%5/06Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 56%29/04Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%21/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%17/07
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -43.7%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 73
15/1
Ashkenazi silks

R Sparks

Ashkenazi

3yo Filly · 8-6

Hootenanny - Shivoo (Into Mischief)

Abel CedilloRick Hiles
662589
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par11/039/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 29%11/03Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%22/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%13/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.8%Ahead 1/4
1
6
OR 73
12/1
Magic Seeker silks

Finegan, Randy And Walderns, James M

Magic Seeker

3yo Filly · 8-6

Good Magic - Seeking Spirits (Orb)

Christopher Emigh60%1/6Brittany Vanden60%
367637
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

2/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/01 · mark par2/0122/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par14/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par17/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par26/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%2/01Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%14/03Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%3/06Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%26/07
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 0/4
10
9
OR 77
12/1
Miss Pierre silks

Bruno Schickedanz

Miss Pierre

4yo Filly · 8-9

Souper Speedy - Prado Girl (Rahy)

James Graham60%Felipe Nickel
275732
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

18/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/1021/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par12/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par1/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%18/10Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%12/12Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%19/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%13/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.6%Ahead 2/4
6
12
OR 71
20/1
Bright Lady Day silks

Jackson Racing Stable, Llc

Bright Lady Day

5yo Mare · 8-9

Race Day - Lady Relaunch (Bright Launch)

Jane Elliott60%0/4Christopher Jackson
776616
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

6/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par6/1128/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par17/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 27%6/11Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%21/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%17/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%13/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.9%Ahead 4/4
5
10
OR 66
20/1
Code Of Valor silks

Josh McKee

Code Of Valor

3yo Filly · 8-6

Code Of Honor - Grazen Valor (Grazen)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%Frank Lucarelli
326125
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

10/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/0421/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par17/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par21/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par25/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%10/04Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%17/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%21/04Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%25/05
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.9%Ahead 1/4
9
11
OR 79
15/1
Super Costly silks

Farris, Andrew D And Moore, Brian L

Super Costly

4yo Filly · 8-9

Dialed In - Superior Storm (Stormy Atlantic)

Luis Saez60%Yoni Orantes
409212
4.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

12/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/0922/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par16/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%12/09Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%16/04Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 11%24/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%27/07
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.9%Ahead 1/4