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16:20 · Beverley

Hurn Handicap (Div 1)

1m 100yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav3
OR 47
3/1
Elettaria silks

Caballo Racing Two

Elettaria

7yo Mare · 9-3

Mehmas - Rayon Rouge (Manduro)

Cam Hardie70%0/10J S Wainwright60%
734524
6.0
Cheek pieces

Limited but produced a good second of 13 at this course over 7f in August but couldn't replicate that when fourth of 10 at Newcastle on all-weather 14 days ago. Now returns to turf.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/0516/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%30/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%29/06Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%12/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%2/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.1%Ahead 3/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 53
4/1
Casilli silks

Laura Mason Syndicate Racing

Casilli

9yo Mare · 9-9

Cacique - Lilli Marlane (Sri Pekan)

Shay Farmer60%−5lbM & D Easterby60%
648666
4.0Class ↓3

Not won since 2022 but she's a force at this track and has recorded 5 wins. Likely needed recent return from 12 months off when showing she retains some level of ability so she's one to take very seriously dropping into 0-55 company for the first time, even though her draw could have been kinder.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par28/059/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%28/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 13%27/06Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%14/08Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 58%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.4%Ahead 1/4
5
Value2
OR 48
6/1
Copper And Five silks

Mrs Sally Doyle and Mrs Ruth Carr

Copper And Five

10yo Gelding · 9-4

Paco Boy - Peachez (Observatory)

Joanna Mason60%4/30Mrs R Carr60%
246824
6.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Saved best efforts this year for this track, including when second of 10 to thriving rival over C&D 34 days ago. Disappointed in classified company at Ripon last time but could bounce back returned to this venue.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/0530/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%4/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 70%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%16/06Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%13/08Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
4
7
OR 49
5/1
Al Baahy silks

Curzon House Partnership

Al Baahy

7yo Gelding · 9-5

Kingman - Secret Keeper (New Approach)

Jason Hart60%0/1K Frost
587855
3.0Class ↓3

Twice a winner on all-weather in January but has struggled in handicaps since. Returns from 123 days off back up in trip.

Class Advantage

12/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par12/023/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par18/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%12/02Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%18/04Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%5/05Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%16/05
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 53
5/1
Love You More silks

Mascalls Stud

Love You More

4yo Filly · 9-9

Bated Breath - Dawn Of Reckoning (Dawn Approach)

L Morris70%0/1J Parr
270716
4.0
Hood

Off the mark in a classified stakes at Lingfield in July but slow-starting ways remain a concern. Only sixth of 13 back in a handicap at Southwell last month and needs things to drop right given her style.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par18/0411/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%18/04Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%9/06Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%13/07Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 58%16/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.3%Ahead 1/4
8
5
OR 45
16/1
Golden Samba silks

Howard Thompson

Golden Samba

4yo Filly · 9-1

Nathaniel - Gold Ribbon (Golden Horn)

Billy Garritty60%Miss T Jackson
843764
4.0

Maiden after 10 starts and showed only poor form when fourth of 10 in classified stakes at Ripon 16 days ago on first outing since leaving Ed de Giles. Hard to think she'll be involved down at this trip for the first time (best effort when placed at 2m).

Class Advantage

6/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par6/043/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%6/04Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%18/05Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%29/06Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.3%Ahead 3/4
7
10
OR 50
10/1
Itszaboy silks

The Crawford Society

Itszaboy

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Ubettabelieveit - Violette Szabo (Excelebration)

Alex Jary0/4N Tinkler
066525
4.0

Ran his best race when second of 8 to subsequent winner at Redcar in August but only fifth of 9 at Newcastle on all-weather 14 days ago. Could bounce back returned to turf up against older rivals.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/0419/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%20/04Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%3/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 86%8/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%2/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.6%Ahead 4/4
3
6
OR 50
14/1
Kameel silks

Mr R Teatum

Kameel

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Twilight Son - Estournel (Danehill Dancer)

Oliver Stammers60%0/5Jessica Macey60%
244455
4.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Threatened to win in May and June but losing run now stands at 18 and recent efforts much less encouraging so he's got something to prove back down in trip after another change in headgear.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/0513/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%25/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%4/07Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%9/08Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -38.6%Ahead 0/4
9
8
OR 47
33/1
Star Suepreme silks

Mr Ronald Jackson

Star Suepreme

3yo Filly · 8-13

Aclaim - Vanoise (Dutch Art)

Warren Fentiman60%Lemos Souza60%
4059
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Little promise to date and needs switch to a handicap, drop in trip and first-time cheekpieces to improve her markedly.

Class Advantage

6/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0120/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0127/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0718/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%6/01Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%20/01Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%27/07Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 11%18/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.3%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 45
25/1
Diamond Aura silks

Bearstone Stud Limited

Diamond Aura

3yo Filly · 8-11

Wootton Bassett - Posset (Oasis Dream)

D Allan60%0/1T D Easterby60%
424769
3.0
Cheek pieces

Second over 1¼m at Leicester in July for Hugo Palmer but not kicked on for this yard and now drops back to 1m.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%22/06Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%19/07Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%8/08Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 27%2/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.5%Ahead 1/4