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13:08 · Beverley

Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap

1m 1f 207yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 74
5/1
Mao Shang Wong silks

Mr J C G Chua

Mao Shang Wong

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Too Darn Hot - Moment Of Silence (Slade Power)

C J Whiteley60%1/3−5lbD O'Meara60%
102752
6.0

Bounced back to best when scoring over C&D in May and posted his best effort since on back of a 4-week break when second at Newcastle (1¼m) 13 days ago. Operating just 1 lb above last winning mark and he's of interest with his rider taking off a handy 5 lb.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/0512/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par23/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par3/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%27/05Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%23/06Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%3/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.5%Ahead 1/4
8
Value2
OR 65
8/1
Dr Rio silks

Dreams

Dr Rio

10yo Gelding · 9-4

Rio De La Plata - Dr Wintringham (Monsieur Bond)

Zak Wheatley60%5/31D Carroll
387531
7.0Going 8.0

Veteran who is a 6-time winner here and he arrives having bounced back to his best when emphatically landing 7-runner handicap at Carlisle (11f) 3 weeks ago. This looks to demand more however from 6 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par12/059/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%12/05Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%3/07Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%12/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.3%Ahead 3/4
7
Market Fav6
OR 66
4/1
Cosmos Raj silks

Nick Crummack & Partner

Cosmos Raj

8yo Gelding · 9-9

Iffraaj - Cosmos Pink (Dansili)

D Tudhope60%5/13D O'Meara60%
644141
7.0

Bounced back to form when capitalising on a much-reduced mark over this trip at Redcar in August. Backed that up without posing a win threat when fourth at Ripon (1¼m) since. Engaged 2.53 Redcar Tuesday.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/071/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%16/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%5/08Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%1/09Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.4%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 74
7/1
Shimmering Sands silks

Mark Hickling Racing

Shimmering Sands

7yo Gelding · 9-13

Teofilo - Milady (Shamardal)

Joanna Mason60%2/15M & D Easterby
341136
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Returned from 6 months off to land back-to-back handicaps at Pontefract (1¼m) in June. His mark rose significantly as a result and he's performed no more than respectably in 2 starts since, failing to figure when sixth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle 2 weeks ago. Tongue strap back on.

Class Advantage

30/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par30/1026/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 71%30/10Pos 4 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%3/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.6%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 69
6/1
Bearwith silks

The Rise One Partnership

Bearwith

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Brazen Beau - Baylini (Bertolini)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%1/3−5lbH Bethell
449125
6.0

C&D winner who was back on the scoresheet at Newcastle in July and he performed well when second from the front over C&D next time. Produced a tame finish back up in trip when fifth at Southwell (11f) since but no surprise to see a better showing from a handy draw.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/0417/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%29/04Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%13/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%12/08Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.6%Ahead 3/4
10
4
OR 57
14/1
Kitsune Power silks

Reality Partnerships Xv

Kitsune Power

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Holy Roman Emperor - Fire Heroine (Pivotal)

Cam Hardie70%T D Easterby60%
013400
4.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Ended a long losing sequence over C&D in July and made the frame on each of his next 2 starts. However, well below that level in pair of Ripon handicaps last month and bounce back now called for.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/0614/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%26/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%29/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%15/08Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.7%Ahead 1/4
9
5
OR 58
8/1
Freddy Robinson silks

Brian Ellison Racing Club

Freddy Robinson

7yo Gelding · 8-11

Adaay - Bling Bling (Indian Ridge)

Connor Beasley60%B Ellison
764222
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

C&D winner who ended a losing run over hurdles at Market Rasen (16.6f) in December prior to finishing runner-up 3 times over further here during the spring. Not disgraced when fifth over hurdles at Hexham in June and his record around here is a pretty solid one.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/0315/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par4/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par27/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%6/03Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%23/04Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%27/05Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%6/06
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.5%Ahead 1/4
6
10
OR 68
8/1
Austrian Theory silks

The Wolf Pack 2 And Partner

Austrian Theory

7yo Gelding · 9-7

Awtaad - Cedar Sea (Persian Bold)

D Allan60%1/12T D Easterby60%
758534
5.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Not tasted success for almost 2 years but his mark reflects that and he again ran respectably when fourth in amateur riders' race at Haydock (11.6f) earlier this month. Assessor has eased him a little more ahead of this but others look stronger from a win perspective.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par28/0512/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par24/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%28/05Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 76%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%24/06Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%17/08Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 70%3/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.3%Ahead 2/4
1
8
OR 75
6/1
Great Blasket silks

Mr Paul L Drinkwater

Great Blasket

6yo Gelding · 10-0

Gregorian - Dream Belle (Oasis Dream)

Jason Hart60%James Owen60%
376133
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Visor

Justified support in comfortable fashion for new connections at Nottingham (1m) in July and similar form when placed both subsequent outings, having every chance when third at Lingfield (1m) 3 weeks ago. Definite possibilities back at this longer trip.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0515/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%31/05Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%27/06Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 60%6/08Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%25/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.2%Ahead 1/4
11
9
OR 61
33/1
Hunterian silks

Kingsley Park Owners Club

Hunterian

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Study Of Man - Tottie (Fantastic Light)

A Mullen70%1/2C Johnston60%
321667
3.0Going 7.0

Confirmed his positive start in handicaps by winning at Ayr (1m) in June but not built on that in 3 runs since, no upturn following a gelding operation when seventh at Southwell (1m) 16 days ago. Tackles a longer trip now.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par26/0510/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 207y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%26/05Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%17/07Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%31/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.0%Ahead 2/4