16:50 · Beverley

Hurn Handicap (Div 2)

1m 100yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 53
4/1
Hostelry silks

Dennis Clayton And Ruth Carr

9yo Mare · 9-9

Coach House - Queens Jubilee (Cayman Kai)

Joanna Mason60%2/10Mrs R Carr60%
554516
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Won a classified stakes at Ayr in August for her first success in around a year and shaped as if probably still in form when sixth of 13 at Musselburgh 23 days ago. One of 2 with chances from yard in this but is a previous C&D winner so is of interest in this company. Cheekpieces replace visor.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/0629/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 43%16/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%11/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 58%24/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 52
10/1
Dumfries silks

Buist, Shields, Thompson And Mrs R Car

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Cityscape - Milldale (Bushranger)

J P Sullivan3/23Mrs R Carr
565544
4.0Class ↓3

Twice a winner at this course from slightly higher marks last year and shaped as if in good form when fourth of 10 over 7f in a handicap at Southwell 20 days ago. One to take seriously for stable with 2 chances in the race.

Class Advantage

30/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par30/0916/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/10 · mark par14/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%30/09Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%14/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%13/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%27/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 2/4
6
4
OR 47
13/2
Evelyn's Phoenix silks

Mr John R Saville

5yo Gelding · 9-3

Phoenix Of Spain - Pebbles Place (Oasis Dream)

D Allan60%2/12T D Easterby70%
690643
5.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Made the frame again when third of 10 in a classified stakes at Ripon 16 days ago but isn't operating at the level he was showing at the start of the season.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/0530/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%20/05Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 17 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 6%14/06Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%16/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 78%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 54
9/2
Willowinghurn silks

Hurn Racing Club & Partner

3yo Filly · 9-6

Ardad - Fame Game (Fasliyev)

D Tudhope60%1/7D O'Meara70%
568384
4.0Class ↓3
Visor

Good third of 12 in a handicap over 7f at Ffos Las 26 days ago but not quite so good last 2 starts. Back down in grade here but does have stamina to prove for this slightly longer trip.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/0628/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%30/06Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 42%12/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 42%3/09Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%8/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.2%Ahead 1/4
4
Market Fav7
OR 49
11/4
Abu Royal silks

Mr T Barton

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Dark Angel - Spesialta (Indian Ridge)

Billy Garritty60%0/1L Morgan60%
803672
5.0
Visor

Winless in 26 starts but ran better when second of 13 at Musselburgh 23 days ago. 3 lb rise needn't prevent him being a threat again but whether he's in the same form is the bigger question.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/0328/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 22%13/03Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 83%2/06Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%5/07Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 92%24/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.0%Ahead 3/4
10
5
OR 45
50/1
Due To Shine silks

Shine Racing

3yo Filly · 8-11

Due Diligence - Shine Baby Shine (Aqlaam)

Connor Beasley60%0/1B Ellison
237057
3.0

Winless from 9 starts and turned in dismal efforts in classified company last time. Cheekpieces removed and down in trip.

Class Advantage

17/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/092/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par13/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 83%17/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%13/04Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%31/07Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.2%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 47
10/1
Back From Dubai silks

Mr K Nicholls

9yo Gelding · 9-3

Exceed And Excel - Emirates Rewards (Dubawi)

Jack Gilligan60%S R Bowring
140637
4.0

One of better races this year when third over C&D in August but ran below par when seventh of 10 in classified stakes at Ripon 16 days ago. Often hangs under pressure at this track.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/0525/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 13 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 13 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 29%14/06Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%13/08Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.1%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 47
13/2
Forever Twenty silks

Ontoawinner & Partner

3yo Filly · 8-13

Havana Grey - Prezzie (Major Cadeaux)

T EavesI Furtado
360394
4.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Third at this course in July and produced creditable fourth of 13 in a 7f handicap at Newcastle 13 days ago, doing well off an ordinary gallop. Back up in trip today but often hampers herself by starting slowly and sometimes racing freely.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/0518/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%2/05Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%14/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%16/07Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%3/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4
7
10
OR 46
14/1
She's A Goldigger silks

4racing Owners Club

4yo Filly · 9-2

Land Force - Miss Goldsmith (Mastercraftsman)

Olivia Tubb0/6−5lbM Walford
045307
3.0

Yet to win in 17 starts and hard to be positive about either of last 2 runs. Now also steps up to a trip she's unproven at.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/0411/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 15%20/04Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%29/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%26/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%8/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.5%Ahead 2/4
9
9
OR 45
33/1
Power Of Chora silks

J Morris, M Gilgeous And C Seeney

3yo Filly · 8-11

Magna Grecia - Qaseeda (Poet's Voice)

S H James70%Jessica Macey60%
683800
2.0
Cheek pieces

Came third of 6 here over 5f in June for Joey Ramsden, but last 2 efforts, including on debut for new yard last time, have been devoid of promise and she now tries a new trip with cheekpieces reapplied.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/0614/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par23/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 100y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%2/06Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%23/06Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 10%26/07Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%3/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.1%Ahead 3/4