14:30 · Sandown

Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed)

1mGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 104
13/8
Cerro Blanco silks

Godolphin

3yo Colt · 9-2

Wootton Bassett - Duneflower (Dubawi)

W Buick70%1/1C Appleby60%
121
8.0

Wootton Bassett colt who has shown significant promise in a trio of 7f outings at Newmarket, finishing second in listed company in between maiden/novice wins. Should be more to come from him now moving up to 1m.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/041/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a1/056/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%14/04Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%1/05Pos 1 · SP 1/25 | Expected: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/25 | Actual: 100%6/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 1/3
10
Value2
OR 103
14/1
Pacific Mission silks

Juddmonte

3yo Filly · 8-11

Lope De Vega - Big Break (Dansili)

Colin Keane60%0/5A M Balding60%
225327
5.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Ended her 2-y-o season when excellent seconds in Group 2 May Hill and Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies' Turf. Back in that sort of form when second in listed race at Haydock (1m, good to firm) last month and possibly unsuited by soft ground when only seventh in Atalanta here since.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0931/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par15/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par6/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par8/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par29/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%11/09Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%15/05Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%8/08Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%29/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 3/4
6
4
OR 109
6/1
Room Service silks

The Room Service Girls

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Kodi Bear - Tamara Love (Tamayuz)

Saffie Osborne80%1/1J A Osborne80%
428751
5.0Class ↓0
1st Blinkers +31st Tongue Strap +2

6f listed winner for Kevin Ryan and bounced back to his very best in a first-time blinkers and tongue tie combination when defying a big weight in 7f Newcastle handicap on reappearance for new yard in June. His stamina for this trip has to be taken on trust but he holds good form claims.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0528/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par20/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par4/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 73%31/05Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 22%20/07Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%4/10Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%27/06
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.5%Ahead 1/4
5
3
OR 108
4/1
Nahraan silks

Prince A A Faisal

4yo Colt · 9-6

Make Believe - First Kingdom (Frankel)

Oisin Murphy80%3/6J & T Gosden60%
111393
5.0

Quickly reached a smart level last season, including Hamilton listed success. The current campaign has yet to really get going but he wasn't disgraced when 2¾ lengths third of 4 to Sallaal in 1¼m Haydock Group 3 last month and there is still time for him to resume his progression. Down in trip.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/059/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par14/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par16/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par8/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%27/05Pos 1 · SP 2/15 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 47%16/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%8/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.4%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 102
11/2
Centigrade silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Buzzar

4yo Colt · 9-6

Too Darn Hot - Turko Beach (Hard Spun)

Rossa Ryan70%0/2R M Beckett60%
2116
6.0

Overcame a 20-month absence to land the second 1m novice success of his career at Southwell in June. Couldn't justify favouritism in 1m handicap at last month's York Ebor meeting but he ended up too far back and remains capable of better for yard which has tasted recent success in this.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0825/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/1018/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0620/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%30/08Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%25/10Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 62%20/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.9%Ahead 3/4
1
6
OR 99
50/1
Balmacara silks

Mick and Janice Mariscotti

5yo Gelding · 9-6

New Bay - Utopian Dream (High Chaparral)

Charles Bishop2/14Eve Johnson Houghton80%
037608
3.0

Highly tried since winning a couple of novices as a 3-y-o and looks up against it once more.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C2 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par24/109/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par6/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par27/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par4/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par5/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%24/10Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%6/06Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 23%4/07Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%5/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 103
12/1
Crown Of Oaks silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Wootton Bassett - Forest Crown (Royal Applause)

Cieren Fallon80%2/4W J Haggas60%
113179
4.0Going 10.0

Quickly developed into a smart performer last season but has been a little disappointing in just 2 outings this year. The first-time tongue tie he wore when only ninth in 1¼m course handicap last time is quickly discarded.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/076/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par14/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par18/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par28/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par29/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 90%14/09Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%28/06Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%29/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.3%Ahead 1/4
7
8
OR 107
16/1
Skukuza silks

Cayton Park Stud Limited

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Blue Point - Shingwedzi (Trippi)

James Doyle80%E A L Dunlop60%
345660
3.0Class ↓0

Won handicap and listed race at the Curragh last season. Hasn't hit the same heights this season but it is possible this free goer could have benefited from a recent gelding operation.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/094/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par29/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par15/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par5/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%13/09Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 56%29/03Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%5/06Pos 24 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 15%17/06
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.0%Ahead 2/4
2
10
OR 103
16/1
Blue Rc silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

4yo Colt · 9-6

Blue Point - Making Memories (New Approach)

H Crouch60%1/4J Tate90%
229200
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Added to his tally in 1m Southwell handicap in January. Really smart handicap performance when second of 28 in Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot but needs to shrug off a pair of disappointing efforts back there since. Wears first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/042/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par16/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par4/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%3/04Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%16/05Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 96%Pos 10 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 10%25/07Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%4/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 1/4
8
9
OR 103
20/1
Avicenna silks

Godolphin

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Starspangledbanner - Love Potion (Galileo)

Ray Dawson0/3R Varian60%
11200
4.0Class ↓1

Won Doncaster listed event as a juvenile. Returned with a good second in the Craven at Newmarket in the spring. Two disappointing efforts have followed so needs to get his career back on track having been gelded.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a16/0812/09 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a16/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par2/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par20/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%16/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%12/09Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%16/04Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%2/05Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%20/06
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 2/4