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16:25 · Kelso

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 189yGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 125
4/5
Loriko silks

Cherry Knoll Farm, M Ward & D Skelton

Loriko

5yo Gelding · 12-6

Cokoriko - Theme Song (Antarctique)

Harry Skelton80%4/8D Skelton60%
211211
9.0Going 10.0

Has thrived this summer, making it 4 wins from his last 5 starts in 5-runner handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (2½m, good) last week, leading after 2 out and staying on well to draw clear. Turned out under a penalty and fancied to be bang there this mood (also entered up later in week).

Class Advantage

6/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par6/047/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par9/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 75%6/04Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.3%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 98
8/1
Starlyte silks

Wee Dude Partnership

Starlyte

9yo Mare · 10-2

Sir Percy - Virevolle (Kahyasi)

P W Wadge60%3/20L Russell & M Scudamore60%
774434
6.0Class ↓2
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Nigh-on 18 months since she last tasted success over C&D but is lurking on an attractive mark on the pick of her form. Ran a typical race when fourth of 7 at Cartmel (25f, good) when last seen 4 months ago and the suspicion is she will need this outing. 1 lb out of weights.

Class Advantage

14/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par14/1121/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par23/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%14/11Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 63%21/03Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%6/05Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%23/05
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 105
14/1
Heart Above silks

Margaret Coppola & Dianne Sayer

Heart Above

8yo Gelding · 10-8

Shirocco - Cool Baranca (Beat Hollow)

Peter Kavanagh1/2Mrs Dianne Sayer
P971P9
5.0

Course specialist who needed every yard of the trip to capitalise on a drop in grade in C&D hurdle in May. No show twice at Cartmel since but hopes pinned on a return to this track (record reads 3 wins and 5 placed efforts from 11 starts).

Class Advantage

7/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par7/121/01 · C3 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par20/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%7/12Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%20/03Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%18/07
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.1%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 114
6/1
Bold Light silks

Mr T Carruthers

Bold Light

9yo Gelding · 11-3

Leading Light - Turmoss (Turgeon)

Gregor Walkingshaw0/1−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%
U43435
5.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Won pair of Class 2 handicaps in 2024/25 (including over C&D) before drawing a blank last season. Took a step back in the right direction in first-time cheekpieces when fifth of 9 at Perth (2½m) in July and though his yard is struggling for winners, he looks potentially well handicapped.

Class Advantage

1/02 · C3 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0228/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par31/03 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par24/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par12/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%1/02Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%31/03Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%14/05Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%12/07
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.0%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 121
7/1
Continuance silks

Martin Keighley Racing Partnership 21

Continuance

5yo Gelding · 11-10

Postponed - Caravela (Henrythenavigator)

Freddie Keighley60%1/10M Keighley
234229
5.0Class ↓3
Hood

Free-going sort whose losing run is mounting but has been in good form this summer, finishing runner-up twice in a row. Faced a stiff task in the Summer Handicap at Market Rasen a couple of months ago and is back in much calmer waters with his usual hood reapplied.

Class Advantage

12/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par12/123/01 · C3 · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par4/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par6/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par3/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par18/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%12/12Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%4/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%3/07Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%18/07
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.7%Ahead 2/4
4
5
OR 111
7/1
Dream's Ka silks

Elite Bloodstock

Dream's Ka

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Karaktar - Dulci D'un Regard (Blue Bresil)

Ryan Mania60%K Scott
721218
6.0
Tongue strap

Won pair of 2½m handicaps at Bangor/Uttoxeter this season. Progression came to a halt at the latter course on final start for Dan Skelton before being sold for only £7000 last month. Probably vulnerable off this mark.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par5/044/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par28/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 189y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%5/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 22%24/07
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.9%Ahead 2/4