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18:13 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Claiming

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 96
9/2
Bestfriend Rocket silks

Craig Peerenboom

Bestfriend Rocket

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Curlin - Noble And A Beauty (Noble Causeway)

Edgar Morales60%1/1Jordan Blair60%
356414
6.0Class ↓7Going 8.0

Class Advantage

16/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par16/112/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/01 · mark par16/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par9/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par26/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%16/11Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%16/02Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%26/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.2%Ahead 3/4
7
Market Fav2
OR 103
7/5
J B Strikes Back silks

Purple Rein Racing (buss)

J B Strikes Back

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Goldencents - Allanah (Scat Daddy)

Luan Machado60%Doug O'Neill60%
041115
6.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

8/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/094/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par3/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par23/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/11 · mark par26/12 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/12 · mark par2/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par2/03projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength94%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%8/09Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%3/11Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%26/12Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%2/03
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.1%Ahead 4/4
4
3
OR 95
5/2
Curlin's Malibu silks

Paradise Farms Corp And Staudacher, David

Curlin's Malibu

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Curlin - Tonasah (Malibu Moon)

Jose Ortiz60%Michael Maker
163507
4.0Going 9.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

15/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/11 · mark par15/1128/12 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par11/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par14/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par4/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%15/11Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%11/04Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 7 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 7 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 25%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.9%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 87
7/2
California Burrito silks

Haberman, Aaron And Haberman, Victoria

California Burrito

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Army Mule - Bluegrass Sunset (Hard Spun)

Cristian Torres60%Jr Thomas Drury,80%
865370
4.0Class ↓7Going 8.0

Class Advantage

3/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par3/0522/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/11 · mark par28/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par28/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par16/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par17/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼4
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%3/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%28/12Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%16/04Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%17/06
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 92
15/1
Dai Vernon silks

Sargent, Michele And Sargent, Lawrence E

Dai Vernon

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Good Magic - Charladora (Scat Daddy)

Luis Saez60%2/4Carlos David
732546
5.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

21/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par21/118/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par13/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%21/11Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%13/03Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%10/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%18/07
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.4%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 85
20/1
Smoken Boy silks

Wayne Sommers

Smoken Boy

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Catholic Boy - Smoken Deb (Cairo Prince)

Christopher Emigh60%Brittany Vanden
264475
3.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

5/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par5/0326/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par7/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par21/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par26/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%5/03Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%7/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%25/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%26/07
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.3%Ahead 2/4
2
7
OR 95
20/1
Real Fast silks

Fivebred Stables Llc, Bell, Jeffrey, Bell, Kristen, Jones, Steven L And Jones, Amy

Real Fast

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Kitten's Joy - Kiss Me Now (T. H. Approval)

Walter Rodriguez60%1/2Barry King60%
548689
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/0319/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par21/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%21/03Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%21/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%4/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%26/07
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.7%Ahead 3/4