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16:45 · Churchill Downs

Race 1 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 59
8/1
Beauxbatons silks

Southwest Racing Stables, Inc , Murphy, Bruce, Baer, Deann And Baxton, William

Beauxbatons

3yo Filly · 8-6

Beau Liam - Unethical (Into Mischief)

Edgar Morales60%Genaro Garcia60%
6810
6.0

Class Advantage

14/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/053/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/0625/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 29%14/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%25/06
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.8%Ahead 1/3
3
Market Fav2
OR 70
2/1
Rising Creek silks

Carolyn Wilson

Rising Creek

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mckinzie - Red Sister (Van Nistelrooy)

Walter Rodriguez60%1/1Larry Rivelli60%
221
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a21/0625/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%21/06Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%25/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.6%Ahead 1/2
4
4
OR 71
4/1
She's Gotta Go silks

Steven Asmussen

She's Gotta Go

4yo Filly · 8-11

Maximum Security - Beestrong (Broken Vow)

Keith Asmussen60%0/1Steven Asmussen
352721
7.0

Class Advantage

17/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par17/0415/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par12/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par17/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par23/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%17/04Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%12/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%17/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%23/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.2%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 81
9/2
Serenity Song silks

Laura Staley

Serenity Song

3yo Filly · 8-6

Vekoma - Lunar Lullaby (Malibu Moon)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%Marcelino Salas60%
210
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

1/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0327/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/0316/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 83%1/03Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%27/03Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%16/05
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.5%Ahead 0/3
8
7
OR 78
3/1
Rumbar silks

Schaedle, Robert And Estate Of Brereton C Jones

Rumbar

3yo Filly · 8-6

Divisidero - Proud And Fearless (Proud Citizen)

Dylan Machado60%Ben Colebrook
79851
2.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0830/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/0814/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par14/069/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%18/08Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%30/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%14/06Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%9/07
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.2%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 80
20/1
Strife silks

Felipe Salas

Strife

5yo Mare · 8-9

War Front - Black Dynamite (More Than Ready)

Summer Pauly60%Felipe Salas
145357
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

10/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par10/018/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par6/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par18/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/03 · mark par25/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%10/01Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%6/03Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%25/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%31/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 4/4
1
6
OR 67
12/1
Pink Moon silks

Miller, Chester J And Weiss, Susan E

Pink Moon

5yo Mare · 8-9

Get Stormy - Bird Swing (Birdstone)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Anna Navarrete
616055
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/02 · mark par22/026/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above6/11 · mark par29/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par14/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par17/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%22/02Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%29/11Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%17/01Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%17/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 73
15/1
Vinno Ronnie silks

Carlos Garcia-lagunas

Vinno Ronnie

3yo Filly · 8-6

Vino Rosso - Elusive Raven (Elusive Quality)

D E SheehyThomas Vance
873606
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par3/0416/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par17/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%3/04Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%17/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%31/07
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.8%Ahead 0/4