18:13 · Clonmel

John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap

2m 174yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav2
OR 60
6/5
Gallo Dell Cielo silks

Jeffrey Mahany

6yo Gelding · 11-11

Finsceal Fior - Art Scene (Excellent Art)

Mr D Doyle60%P J Flynn
771151
7.0

Landed back-to-back Dundalk handicaps last winter and picked up right where he left off after a 6-month absence when impressively winning a 2m Tramore handicap last month by 7 lengths from Fine Print. Has gone up 15 lb for that success but remains well treated on all-weather form.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/0910/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par5/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par16/01 · C7 · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par11/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/02 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 45%19/09Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%5/12Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 56%11/02Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.5%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 62
6/1
Rich Belief silks

I J Keeling

9yo Gelding · 11-13

Make Believe - Realt Eile (Dark Angel)

Mr D McGill0/1K Thornton60%
728606
7.0
Tongue strap

Over 2 years without a win on the Flat but has been in good form over hurdles, winning a claimer in May and placed in similar events on last 2 starts in that sphere. Reverts to the Flat off a career-low mark and should be suited by the return to an extended 2m.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0427/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 19 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 5%25/04Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 78%9/06Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%6/08Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.9%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 65
4/1
Miss Gitana silks

J Lynch & E Blaney

5yo Mare · 12-2

Nathaniel - Miss Celestial (Exceed And Excel)

Mr J R Martin0/1−2lbJoseph Murray
980320
4.0
Tongue strap

Best efforts for current yard when placed at Leopardstown in July and Tramore last month. Had the run of the race on both of those occasions, though, and found life tougher when unable to dominate at Navan last time.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0522/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par10/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par2/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%31/05Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 64%10/07Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%15/08Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 7%2/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.0%Ahead 4/4
8
5
OR 40
12/1
Duke Otto silks

Duke of Saxony Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 10-7

Sir Prancealot - Dubai Flower (Manduro)

Mr B M CoonanP J Flynn
506634
4.0

A multiple-winning hurdler, but winless for 18 months and recent efforts in that sphere hardly inspire confidence, despite twice making the frame on the Flat in 2025. Races from 2 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par4/0816/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par29/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par26/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par1/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par19/02 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par19/02projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 58%4/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 42%29/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%1/01Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%19/02
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.3%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 58
20/1
Highlander Addict silks

Mates Rates Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-9

Highland Reel - Belanoiva (Motivator)

Mr P J Smullen60%−2lbP J Flynn60%
800
3.0

Seen to good effect when making all at Wexford on his fifth start in bumpers. Little show in trio of Flat maidens but should do better now tackling a staying handicap.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/0429/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%30/04Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%12/08Pos 14 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 35%5/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 2/4
7
8
OR 43
10/1
Piatra Neamt silks

Garry Fleming

5yo Mare · 10-8

New Bay - Special Gal (Galileo)

Ms Aine Connolly60%−2lbS M Duffy60%
600058
2.0
Cheek pieces

Remains winless after 10 starts. Tries a new trip here but opposable unless market states otherwise.

Class Advantage

8/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par8/1027/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/10 · mark par25/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par8/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 69%8/10Pos 18 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 18 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 7%25/04Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 73%18/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 46%5/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.5%Ahead 3/4
6
6
OR 45
12/1
Cornmarket silks

John J Cullen & Michael C Barrett

7yo Gelding · 10-10

Elzaam - Sauanna Belle (Acclamation)

Mr L P Shanahan60%John Cullen60%
09067
4.0
Blinkers

A 3-time winning hurdler who goes particularly well at Sligo, running well there last month before falling at Kilbeggan last time. Hasn't cut much ice in this sphere, including in a handicap at his favoured venue back in May. Blinkers worn on most recent hurdling outings are retained.

Class Advantage

12/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/01 · mark par12/013/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par12/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par29/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par6/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par19/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 53%12/01Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 93%12/07Pos 14 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 14 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 28%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%6/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%19/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.0%Ahead 2/4
4
7
OR 59
12/1
Peace Walk silks

Jason Coleman & E O'Connell

5yo Gelding · 11-10

Cracksman - Hoodna (Invincible Spirit)

Mr J Dunne60%E O'Connell
565978
2.0

Sold cheaply after losing his way for Charlie Johnston and ran better than he did on debut for current yard despite only beating a single rival home when 3½ lengths eighth to Boxing Great at Leopardstown last time. Has been given a chance by the handicapper but difficult to weigh up at present.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/0830/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par10/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 174y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%4/08Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%13/09Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%10/06Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%6/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 2/4