15:40 · Sandown

Trainor Stone & Tile Handicap

1m 1f 209yGoing TBCClass 43YO onlyTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
2
OR 79
6/1
Asset silks

Gestuet Schlenderhan Gmbh U Co Kg

3yo Filly · 9-8

Wootton Bassett - Assisi (Galileo)

James Doyle80%Sir Mark Prescott
232132
7.0Going 9.0Class ↓2

From a smart family and made the most of a good opportunity when landing the odds in 3-runner maiden at Pontefract (1m) in July. Good placed efforts in handicaps since, beaten only by a useful filly at Bath 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0514/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 67%26/05Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%13/07Pos 1 · SP 2/13 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/13 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%11/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%2/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 80
5/1
Edwin Hubble silks

Manton Thoroughbreds X

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Space Blues - Kaladena (Daylami)

Oisin Murphy80%1/2B J Meehan60%
272513
7.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Blinkers

Responded well to headgear when off the mark in a 3-runner handicap over C&D last month and backed that up when a decent third at Newbury, albeit a rather remote one.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par12/1012/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%12/10Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%22/06Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.2%Ahead 1/4
9
Market Fav4
OR 73
3/1
Brighton Beach silks

Mr D J Deer

3yo Filly · 9-2

Palace Pier - Poplin (Medicean)

Cieren Fallon80%W J Haggas
5313
7.0Going 9.0

Showed ability first 2 starts before landing the odds in game fashion in 5-runner novice at Thirsk. Good third at Goodwood on handicap debut next time and this stiffer track should play more to her strengths. Strong claims.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0410/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/071/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/0828/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%25/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.8%Ahead 3/4
8
8
OR 73
20/1
Sergei Breeze silks

Mrs J V Wilkinson

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Sergei Prokofiev - Bahamian Bird (Bahamian Bounty)

Ben Ffrench-Davis0/2−5lbKathy Turner
843
5.0

Still appeared green but took another step forward when third of 6 in Windsor maiden 5 weeks ago. Clearly has more ability and stamina than might have been imagined so no forlorn hope now handicapping.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/1020/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0713/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength54%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%2/10Pos 4 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 63%20/07Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%13/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.8%Ahead 2/3
1
3
OR 80
9/2
Mythological Star silks

Capture The Moment Xiv

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Magna Grecia - Astroglia (Montjeu)

W Buick70%D & C Kubler60%
833113
7.0Going 9.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Improved to make a winning handicap debut at Ffos Las last month before leading close home to defy a penalty at Windsor the following week. Possible the race came too soon or that he didn't stay the longer trip when third of 4 there 3 days later. Worth another chance with headgear on.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/051/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%20/05Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 82%6/07Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 33%13/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.2%Ahead 3/4
10
6
OR 72
11/2
Saxophonist silks

Hambleton Racing Liv & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Saxon Warrior - Macheera (Machiavellian)

Mark Winn60%0/1D O'Meara60%
333522
6.0Going 8.0

Winless from 8 starts, though has gone close on last 2 outings at Doncaster and Haydock, unlucky not to collect on the latter occasion having been shuffled back at a crucial point.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/1024/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%21/10Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 0%27/05Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%23/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%8/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.2%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 76
10/1
Barbury Boy silks

Gemmell, Stennett, Turner & Bahia

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Oasis Dream - Franklet (Frankel)

Rossa Ryan70%1/3A King60%
014172
6.0Class ↓2

Improved to make a winning handicap debut at Beverley on return and he was again a narrow winner at Nottingham in June. Further progress when just edged out at Lingfield 5 weeks ago and he remains of interest.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/1123/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 23%26/11Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 40%9/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%4/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%13/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.8%Ahead 2/4
4
9
OR 77
12/1
Raspoutine silks

Mr Tom Hayes

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Time Test - Intrigued (Darshaan)

Gina Mangan60%F O'Brien
812423
6.0Class ↓2

Proved a different proposition sent handicapping when winning at Lingfield on return. Has made the frame all 4 starts since, beaten less than a length in 3 of them. Subsequently sold from Sir Mark Prescott Bt for 100,000gns in July.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0814/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par23/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 36%16/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 80%23/04Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%4/06Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%19/06
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.2%Ahead 1/4
6
7
OR 76
14/1
Box Clever silks

Whitcoombe Park Racing

3yo Filly · 9-5

Zoustar - Choco Box (Harbour Watch)

Rob Hornby1/6J G Portman60%
290317
4.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Produced a career best when winning at Salisbury by 3¾ lengths last month but ran poorly under a penalty the following week, the quick turnaround the obvious excuse. Revised mark has now kicked in, though.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/0411/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%26/04Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 18%29/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%28/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 2/4
11
10
OR 72
33/1
The Golden Snitch silks

Mr Tony Hyams

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Galileo Gold - Madam Mcphee (Kyllachy)

Marco Ghiani70%D J S Ffrench Davis
4074
3.0

Held up off a strong pace when fourth in a Doncaster novice on debut and subsequent efforts suggest he was flattered that day. Up in trip on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0318/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0420/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/053/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 73%29/03Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%18/04Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%20/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%3/07
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 3/4