14:18 · Beverley

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5fGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 88
4/5
Hidden Gift silks

Wathnan Racing

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sioux Nation - Pixel Power (Dream Ahead)

O J Orr60%0/2R A Fahey60%
256
5.0Class ↓3

£150,000 breeze-up purchase who finished an encouraging second on debut at Ripon (5f) and proved much sharper (showed bags of zest) when posting a very solid fifth in the Albany at Royal Ascot (6f). Bit below that level at Glorious Goodwood last time but still sets a solid standard.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0619/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0629/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength78%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%3/06Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 83%19/06Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%29/07
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 1/3
4
3
OR 71
7/1
Halliwell Stream silks

Mr P W Harris

2yo Filly · 9-2

No Nay Never - Crazyland (Kodiac)

C Lee70%Jane Chapple-Hyam
44
5.0

£140,000 purchase who showed promise when fourth of 10 in a novice race at Yarmouth in May and took a small step forward when filling the same position in a 10-runner maiden at Nottingham a fortnight later. Off for 105 days since but should still improve.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/053/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%20/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%3/06
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.7%Ahead 2/2
1
Value2
OR 72
10/1
Delighfully Hot silks

Mrs S Nicholls

2yo Filly · 9-2

Too Darn Hot - Reassure (Oasis Dream)

Jason Hart60%James Owen
92243
6.0

Runner-up twice in July, showing fair form when narrowly denied at Sandown on second occasion. Probably wasn't seen to best effect when fourth of 8 at Chepstow next time but seemed beaten on merit when third of 10 at Southwell (5f) 16 days ago. Might prove vulnerable to progressive rivals.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/066/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%3/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%6/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%24/07Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 57%18/08Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 78%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.2%Ahead 3/4
3
5
10/1
Duty's Call silks

Victorious Forever

2yo Filly · 9-2

Mehmas - Guilded (Mastercraftsman)

P J McDonaldGeorge Scott60%
82
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Went off favourite but failed to beat a rival when last of 8 in maiden at Sandown (5f, good) on debut but quickly proved herself much better than that when second of 6 in novice at Chester (5f, good) 25 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0722/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%22/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.6%Ahead 1/2
6
4
11/2
Myesme silks

Mr S Chappell

2yo Filly · 9-2

Havana Grey - Thesme (Exceed And Excel)

D Tudhope60%E Bethell
2
7.0Going 8.0

Havana Grey filly who made a very promising start to her career when a neck second of 8 in maiden at Ayr (6f, good) on debut 37 days ago, perhaps unlucky to have bumped into a Southern raider and faring easily best of the newcomers. Should progress.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%10/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 1/1
8
6
14/1
Show And Tell silks

Mr Sultan Ali

2yo Filly · 9-2

Showcasing - Dundunah (Sidney's Candy)

K Stott70%I Mohammed & J Santos70%
No form3.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Showcasing filly. 35,000 gns foal, £65,000 2-y-o. Sister to 6f winner Calling A Star and half-sister to useful 6f winner Durham Castle (by Havana Grey). Yard 0-3 with 2-y-o newcomers this season and it's perhaps a bit concerning that she makes debut in a tongue strap.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish6th of 938% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength26%
9
7
33/1
Valentina Bonita silks

N Bradley Racing 29 & Partner

2yo Filly · 9-2

Space Traveller - Ola Bonita (Zebedee)

Billy Garritty60%M & D Easterby
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled March 12. €4,000 foal, £12,000 2-y-o, Space Traveller filly. Dam 6f winner. Yard 0-26 with 2-y-o newcomers this season, so others make much more appeal.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish7th of 925% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
2
8
20/1
Dreamawhile silks

Bearstone Stud Limited

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dream Ahead - Seaclusion (Fountain Of Youth)

D Allan60%T D Easterby
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled March 10. 20,000 gns yearling, Dream Ahead filly. Yard wouldn't be associated with debut winners.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish8th of 913% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
7
9
33/1
Runaway Lucy silks

Mr Dan Gilbert

2yo Filly · 9-2

Ulysses - Full Day (Champs Elysees)

Connor Beasley60%B Ellison
No form3.0

Foaled March 22. Ulysses filly. Sister to 11f/1½m winner Letmeseethecolts and 1½m-17f winner Division Day. Looks one for the longer term.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish9th of 90% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%