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17:14 · Churchill Downs

Race 2 - Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 93
9/5
Weaponized silks

Southwest Racing Stables, Inc And Wargel, William J

Weaponized

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Gun Runner - Lady Tapit (Tapit)

Edgar Morales60%Genaro Garcia
360336
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

20/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1112/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par15/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par19/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par23/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par4/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%20/11Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%15/01Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%23/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%4/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.0%Ahead 3/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 88
5/2
Culprit silks

David Jacobson

Culprit

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Justify - Henny Jenney (Henny Hughes)

Tyler GaffalioneDavid Jacobson60%
120044
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

23/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par23/0628/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par19/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par25/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 10%19/09Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%29/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%21/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -33.9%Ahead 1/4
8
6
OR 80
8/1
Dispersion silks

Foster Family Racing And Dant, John

Dispersion

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Caravaggio - Tetragonal (Mehmas)

Francisco Arrieta60%0/2Eric Foster
516272
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

13/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/0311/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par9/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%13/03Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%9/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%19/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%17/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.4%Ahead 3/4
7
3
OR 74
30/1
Mountain Wolf silks

Julie Warpool

Mountain Wolf

3yo Colt · 8-6

Protonico - Americium (Brilliant Speed)

Jane Elliott60%0/2Michael Warpool
288760
3.0Going 7.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

28/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par28/126/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par28/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par18/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par23/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 89%28/12Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%28/03Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%23/05Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%20/06
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.7%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 70
12/1
Carcar Express silks

Rfa Racing Stable, Llc

Carcar Express

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Caracaro - Foxbeau (Bluegrass Cat)

D E SheehyBrian Knippenberg
001274
5.0

Class Advantage

17/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par17/1030/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par15/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%17/10Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%25/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%7/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 81
3/1
Inordinary silks

David Grund

Inordinary

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Lexitonian - Taptam (Pleasant Tap)

Jose Ortiz60%Joe Sharp60%
458135
4.0

Class Advantage

23/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/0826/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par4/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par15/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par25/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%23/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%4/10Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%9/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%25/07
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.5%Ahead 1/4
2
8
OR 58
10/1
Surfin' M silks

David Bunn

Surfin' M

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Take Charge Indy - Snagglepuss (Holy Bull)

Cristian Torres60%1/5Aaron Shorter
872916
5.0

Class Advantage

27/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/0612/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par25/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par11/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%27/06Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 83%25/04Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%11/07
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.7%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 78
30/1
Valiant Award silks

Ricky Short

Valiant Award

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Street Sense - Alta's Award (Tonalist)

Summer Pauly60%0/1Ricky Short60%
40175
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/104/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par14/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par28/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%21/10Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%4/01Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%14/02Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%28/03Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%17/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.5%Ahead 4/4