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Freddy Robinson

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 58

Beverley · Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who ended a losing run over hurdles at Market Rasen (16.6f) in December prior to finishing runner-up 3 times over further here during the spring. Not disgraced when fifth over hurdles at Hexham in June and his record around here is a pretty solid one.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Nottingham 23/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 63 · 1m2f50y Hvy 135 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 63 par23/106OR 635 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m4f14y Std 129 · beat its mark20/11/2025 · OR 62 par4 @ Market Rasen 04/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 110 · 2m125y GS 168 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/12/2025 · OR 110 par4/124OR 1105 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m4f98y Std 123 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m4f23y Goo 133 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 58 par15/046OR 585 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 58 · 1m4f23y Goo 123 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 57 · 1m4f23y Goo 134 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 57 par4/056OR 576 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 58 · 1m4f23y Goo 135 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 58 par4 @ Hexham 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 113 · 2m48y Gd 168 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 113 par6/064OR 113projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Hexham45th4th+1
2026-05-27Beverley62nd3rd−1
2026-05-04Beverley62nd3rd−1
2026-04-23Beverley52nd2nd0
2026-04-15Beverley64th5th−1
2026-03-06Newcastle56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/106/034/056/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20253rd15/261%86%+0.25
20/11/20257th33/10%40%+0.40
04/12/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
06/03/20266th14/126%17%-0.10
15/04/20264th4/179%73%-0.06
23/04/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
04/05/20262nd11/893%83%-0.09
27/05/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11
06/06/20265th9/276%20%-0.56