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Great Blasket

6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 75

Beverley · Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Justified support in comfortable fashion for new connections at Nottingham (1m) in July and similar form when placed both subsequent outings, having every chance when third at Lingfield (1m) 3 weeks ago. Definite possibilities back at this longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 31/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 76 · 1m1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/12/2025 · OR 76 par31/124OR 765 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m1f104y Std 137 · below its mark26/01/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 72 · 1m31y Goo 132 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 72 par7/055OR 725 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m75y Goo 131 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m Goo 137 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 71 par15/065OR 715 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m14y GF 130 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Nottingham 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 1m75y Goo 133 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 68 par30/075OR 685 @ Sandown 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Lingfield 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 75 · 1m1y Std 140 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 75 par25/085OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-08-06Sandown53rd3rd0
2026-07-30Nottingham51st1st0
2026-06-27Chepstow56th6th0
2026-06-15Wetherby57th7th0
2026-05-31Nottingham53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1231/0530/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/12/20256th25/10%0%0.00
26/01/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
07/05/20264th17/255%70%+0.15
31/05/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
15/06/20267th9/153%0%-0.53
27/06/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
30/07/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
06/08/20263rd2/598%60%-0.38
25/08/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01