11
Hunterian
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 61
Beverley · Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Ayr | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hamilton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |